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2010-11 CzarPI, December 19, 2010

Here is the inaugural CzarPI for the 2010-2011 Season (see CzarPI Explained here).  It includes games through December 18th, 2010.  The value in () after the CzarPI value is the team's strength of schedule ranking within their class.  Remember the values are based on what teams have done so far in a limited number of games.  Why is schedule strength important?  See Champlin Park at #47 in AAAA.  They have a record of 3-0 but their opponents are a combined 0-13 which is why they have a CzarPI value of 0.

Class AAAA
  1. Roseville - 61.31 (30)
  2. Burnsville - 60.23 (12)
  3. Owatonna - 59.46 (38)
  4. Moorhead - 58.78 (40)
  5. Duluth East - 56.17 (24)
  6. Edina - 54.37 (48)
  7. Osseo - 53.97 (50)
  8. Hopkins - 53.84 (51)
  9. Irondale - 53.15 (37)
  10. Eden Prairie - 52.96 (35)
  11. Wayzata - 52.05 (36)
  12. Robbinsdale Cooper - 51.8 (53)
  13. Blaine - 50.97 (26)
  14. Robbinsdale Armstrong - 50.88 (56)
  15. Eastview - 50.27 (57)
  16. Brainerd - 50.04 (46)
  17. Bloomington Kennedy - 48.76 (42)
  18. Rochester Century - 48.45 (59)
  19. Tartan - 48.44 (60)
  20. Lakeville South - 47.95 (6)
  21. Chaska - 47.67 (52)
  22. Cretin-Derham Hall - 47.65 (61)
  23. Stillwater Area - 47.35 (43)
  24. Duluth Central - 47.16 (45)
  25. St. Michael-Albertville - 46.86 (14)
  26. Prior Lake - 46.06 (18)
  27. Forest Lake - 45.81 (41)
  28. Eagan - 45.43 (64)
  29. St. Cloud Tech - 45.05 (34)
  30. Bloomington Jefferson - 43.6 (15)
  31. St. Louis Park - 43.34 (25)
  32. Maple Grove - 42.7 (58)
  33. Alexandria - 42.53 (3)
  34. Apple Valley - 42.02 (19)
  35. North St. Paul - 40.32 (22)
  36. Minneapolis South - 40.18 (21)
  37. Centennial - 39.86 (28)
  38. Spring Lake Park - 39.78 (54)
  39. Farmington - 38.5 (23)
  40. Mounds View - 37.79 (16)
  41. East Ridge - 37.78 (55)
  42. Minneapolis North - 37.77 (10)
  43. White Bear Lake - 35.39 (63)
  44. Elk River - 34.91 (39)
  45. Chanhassen - 34.59 (49)
  46. Anoka - 34.31 (31)
  47. Champlin Park - 0 (65)
  48. Woodbury - 0 (47)
  49. Rosemount - 0 (62)
  50. Cambridge-Isanti - 0 (27)
  51. Rochester John Marshall - 0 (29)
  52. Minneapolis Southwest - 0 (32)
  53. Buffalo - 0 (33)
  54. Rochester Mayo - 0 (1)
  55. Henry Sibley - 0 (2)
  56. Minnetonka - 0 (4)
  57. Andover - 0 (5)
  58. Park Center - 0 (7)
  59. Lakeville North - 0 (8)
  60. Hastings - 0 (9)
  61. Northfield - 0 (11)
  62. St. Francis - 0 (13)
  63. Park of Cottage Grove - 0 (17)
  64. Coon Rapids - 0 (20)
  65. Shakopee - 0 (44)
Class AAA

  1. Marshall - 63.02 (2)
  2. Winona - 61.54 (22)
  3. Rogers - 61.34 (23)
  4. Detroit Lakes - 60.49 (28)
  5. Hutchinson - 59.69 (30)
  6. Chisago Lakes Area - 57.09 (15)
  7. St. Anthony Village - 55.75 (41)
  8. Minneapolis Washburn - 54.55 (16)
  9. Bemidji - 54.47 (46)
  10. St. Paul Como Park - 54.47 (9)
  11. Delano - 54.09 (44)
  12. Benilde-St. Margaret's - 53.07 (8)
  13. Mound-Westonka - 52.87 (42)
  14. Little Falls - 52.13 (48)
  15. Grand Rapids - 51.93 (35)
  16. St. Paul Central - 51.91 (3)
  17. Hill-Murray - 51.77 (34)
  18. Annandale - 51.7 (18)
  19. St. Paul Johnson - 51.25 (50)
  20. St. Cloud Apollo - 50.96 (29)
  21. Worthington - 49.63 (38)
  22. St. Paul Highland Park - 49.6 (21)
  23. Orono - 48.73 (54)
  24. New Prague - 47.95 (56)
  25. Columbia Heights - 47.9 (57)
  26. St. Paul Harding - 47.79 (47)
  27. Hibbing - 47.39 (19)
  28. St. Thomas Academy - 47.35 (17)
  29. Richfield - 47.18 (58)
  30. DeLaSalle - 46.75 (59)
  31. Totino-Grace - 46.66 (14)
  32. Mahtomedi - 45.95 (40)
  33. Simley - 45.76 (60)
  34. Rocori - 45.59 (24)
  35. Holy Family Catholic - 44.54 (26)
  36. Albert Lea - 43.71 (13)
  37. Monticello - 42.82 (4)
  38. Willmar - 39.88 (37)
  39. Holy Angels - 39.4 (20)
  40. Mankato West - 37.91 (10)
  41. Hermantown - 37.48 (32)
  42. Sartell-St. Stephen - 37.19 (45)
  43. Mankato East - 37 (31)
  44. Cloquet - 33.48 (7)
  45. Big Lake - 33.43 (53)
  46. Minneapolis Henry - 29.51 (52)
  47. Red Wing - 0 (51)
  48. Dassel-Cokato - 0 (55)
  49. Fergus Falls - 0 (11)
  50. Austin - 0 (33)
  51. Princeton - 0 (36)
  52. Becker - 0 (39)
  53. South St. Paul - 0 (43)
  54. Waconia - 0 (49)
  55. North Branch - 0 (1)
  56. Waseca - 0 (5)
  57. New Ulm - 0 (6)
  58. Sauk Rapids-Rice - 0 (12)
  59. Fridley - 0 (25)
  60. Faribault - 0 (27)
Class AA
  1. United South Central - 58.36 (75)
  2. Redwood Valley - 58.22 (47)
  3. Perham - 57.22 (87)
  4. International Falls - 57.2 (88)
  5. Zumbrota-Mazeppa - 56.27 (44)
  6. Long Prairie-Grey Eagle - 55.95 (55)
  7. Pequot Lakes - 55.91 (27)
  8. Tracy-Milroy-Balaton - 55.81 (98)
  9. Maple River - 55.73 (99)
  10. BOLD - 55.56 (31)
  11. Blake - 55.54 (69)
  12. Braham - 55.13 (100)
  13. Murray County Central - 54.93 (92)
  14. Montevideo - 54.81 (102)
  15. Mayer Lutheran - 54.8 (103)
  16. Moose Lake-Willow River - 54.52 (59)
  17. Esko - 54.39 (108)
  18. Caledonia - 54.2 (110)
  19. Kasson-Mantorville - 53.81 (111)
  20. St. Croix Lutheran - 53.52 (21)
  21. Waterville-Elysian-Morristown - 51.64 (116)
  22. Zimmerman - 51.61 (117)
  23. Byron - 51.55 (70)
  24. Stewartville - 51.28 (71)
  25. Glencoe-Silver Lake - 51.12 (50)
  26. Minnewaska Area - 51.02 (118)
  27. Wadena-Deer Creek - 50.89 (24)
  28. Rochester Lourdes - 50.55 (89)
  29. Maple Lake - 50.47 (115)
  30. St. Cloud Cathedral - 50.38 (35)
  31. East Grand Forks - 50.24 (30)
  32. Dilworth-Glyndon-Felton - 50.01 (48)
  33. Rush City - 49.81 (33)
  34. Bagley - 49.78 (63)
  35. Kimball Area - 49.44 (80)
  36. Howard Lake-Waverly-Winsted - 49.36 (78)
  37. Pipestone Area - 48.07 (5)
  38. Trinity School - 48.04 (26)
  39. Lake Crystal-Wellcome Memorial - 47.98 (122)
  40. Watertown-Mayer - 47.98 (95)
  41. Concordia Academy-Roseville - 47.83 (49)
  42. Litchfield - 47.61 (14)
  43. Thief River Falls - 47.31 (53)
  44. Plainview-Elgin-Millville - 47.3 (123)
  45. Crookston - 47.1 (52)
  46. Martin County West - 46.61 (96)
  47. Windom Area - 46.6 (85)
  48. Warroad - 45.72 (65)
  49. La Crescent - 45.59 (124)
  50. Red Lake - 45.58 (51)
  51. Triton - 45.56 (54)
  52. Hawley - 45.56 (74)
  53. Deer River - 45.26 (109)
  54. Belle Plaine - 45.15 (112)
  55. Jordan - 44.64 (125)
  56. Pine City - 43.29 (119)
  57. Yellow Medicine East - 43.04 (114)
  58. St. Charles - 42.98 (106)
  59. Norwood-Young America - 42.97 (19)
  60. Eden Valley-Watkins - 42.01 (94)
  61. Hayfield - 41.95 (121)
  62. Providence Academy - 41.78 (84)
  63. Dover-Eyota - 41.39 (23)
  64. Pelican Rapids - 40.71 (28)
  65. Legacy Christian - 40.48 (7)
  66. Crosby-Ironton - 40.28 (91)
  67. Winona Cotter - 40.15 (120)
  68. Pierz - 39.9 (4)
  69. Kingsland - 39.88 (34)
  70. Lewiston-Altura - 38.99 (93)
  71. Holdingford - 38.08 (76)
  72. St. Peter - 37.89 (101)
  73. Jackson County Central - 37.75 (97)
  74. Lake City - 37.52 (41)
  75. Breck - 36.91 (104)
  76. Minnehaha Academy - 36.91 (32)
  77. New Richland-H-E-G - 36.59 (105)
  78. Albany - 36.29 (126)
  79. Proctor - 36.01 (83)
  80. Hinckley-Finlayson - 35.27 (58)
  81. Sauk Centre - 34.67 (62)
  82. Melrose - 34.61 (6)
  83. Osakis - 34.42 (25)
  84. Blue Earth Area - 33.95 (16)
  85. Sibley East - 33.35 (36)
  86. St. John's Prep - 33.13 (64)
  87. Southland - 31.4 (38)
  88. New London-Spicer - 30.66 (86)
  89. Aitkin - 28.83 (46)
  90. Kenyon-Wanamingo - 28.29 (15)
  91. Montgomery-Lonsdale - 28.29 (72)
  92. Morris Area/Chokio-Alberta - 26.97 (73)
  93. West Central Area - 0 (107)
  94. Roseau - 0 (82)
  95. Virginia - 0 (90)
  96. Benson - 0 (18)
  97. LeSueur-Henderson - 0 (22)
  98. Brooklyn Center - 0 (29)
  99. Chatfield - 0 (40)
  100. St. Paul Academy - 0 (43)
  101. Staples-Motley - 0 (45)
  102. Eveleth-Gilbert - 0 (56)
  103. Foley - 0 (57)
  104. Minneapolis Roosevelt - 0 (67)
  105. Two Harbors - 0 (77)
  106. Lac qui Parle Valley - 0 (79)
  107. Gibbon-Fairfax-Winthrop - 0 (81)
  108. Great River - 0 (113)
  109. International School of MN - 0 (127)
  110. St. James - 0 (1)
  111. Fairmont - 0 (2)
  112. Cannon Falls - 0 (3)
  113. Frazee - 0 (8)
  114. Milaca - 0 (9)
  115. Mounds Park Academy - 0 (10)
  116. Paynesville Area - 0 (11)
  117. Luverne - 0 (12)
  118. Greenway - 0 (13)
  119. Rockford - 0 (17)
  120. Pine Island - 0 (20)
  121. Mora - 0 (37)
  122. Duluth Marshall - 0 (39)
  123. Park Rapids Area - 0 (42)
  124. Minnesota Valley Lutheran - 0 (60)
  125. Breckenridge - 0 (61)
  126. Minneapolis Edison - 0 (66)
  127. Walker-Hackensack-Akeley - 0 (68)
Class A
  1. Browerville - 64.49 (40)
  2. Sebeka - 60.76 (64)
  3. Southwest MN Christian - 58.71 (82)
  4. Ulen-Hitterdal - 58.62 (84)
  5. Upsala - 57.1 (48)
  6. Ada-Borup - 56.68 (39)
  7. Maranatha Christian - 56.6 (100)
  8. Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa - 56.11 (107)
  9. Cedar Mountain/Comfrey - 55.13 (52)
  10. Mt. Lake/Butterfield-Odin - 55.12 (115)
  11. Orr - 54.71 (28)
  12. Stephen-Argyle - 54 (122)
  13. Minnesota Transitions Charter - 53.4 (125)
  14. Bigfork - 53.12 (85)
  15. Goodhue - 52.28 (81)
  16. Barnum - 51.23 (131)
  17. Nevis - 51.14 (116)
  18. Pine River-Backus - 50.85 (95)
  19. Rushford-Peterson - 50.79 (132)
  20. Russell-Tyler-Ruthton - 50.7 (17)
  21. MACCRAY - 50.47 (133)
  22. Southwest Star Concept - 50.41 (99)
  23. Prairie Seeds Academy - 50.35 (92)
  24. St. Agnes - 50.11 (70)
  25. Fosston - 50 (137)
  26. Norman County East - 49.66 (83)
  27. Warren-Alvarado-Oslo - 49.4 (141)
  28. McGregor - 49.21 (142)
  29. Ellsworth - 49.17 (143)
  30. Glenville-Emmons - 49.16 (144)
  31. Sleepy Eye - 49.13 (50)
  32. Cook County - 49.09 (74)
  33. Ely - 49.03 (145)
  34. Lester Prairie/Holy Trinity - 49 (30)
  35. Springfield - 48.61 (146)
  36. Northern Freeze - 48.11 (139)
  37. Truman - 47.81 (106)
  38. Badger/Greenbush-Middle River - 47.39 (98)
  39. St. Clair - 47.35 (7)
  40. Brandon-Evansville - 46.9 (150)
  41. Heritage Christian - 46.58 (59)
  42. Minneota - 46.54 (79)
  43. Bertha-Hewitt - 46.52 (47)
  44. Tower-Soudan - 46.51 (104)
  45. Blackduck - 46.29 (113)
  46. FAIR Downtown - 46.18 (147)
  47. Lanesboro - 45.58 (153)
  48. Fond du Lac Ojibwe - 45.04 (55)
  49. Dawson-Boyd - 44.9 (66)
  50. East Central - 43.13 (123)
  51. New York Mills - 42.68 (56)
  52. Chisholm - 42.6 (108)
  53. Cromwell - 42.57 (27)
  54. Cass Lake-Bena - 42.25 (121)
  55. Lakeview Christian - 42.23 (158)
  56. AlBrook/Cotton - 42.16 (126)
  57. Littlefork-Big Falls - 42.07 (43)
  58. Lincoln HI - 41.83 (15)
  59. Silver Bay - 41.4 (110)
  60. Houston - 41.36 (159)
  61. Kittson County Central - 41.31 (36)
  62. Henning - 41.2 (102)
  63. Nashwauk-Keewatin - 41.04 (57)
  64. Hill City - 40.67 (14)
  65. St. Paul Humboldt - 40.65 (89)
  66. Mankato Loyola - 40.38 (54)
  67. Hope Lutheran - 40.15 (60)
  68. Granada-Huntley-East Chain - 39.65 (42)
  69. Le Center - 39.65 (29)
  70. New Life Academy - 39.4 (35)
  71. Win-E-Mac - 39.15 (53)
  72. Janesville-Waldorf-Pemberton - 39.05 (109)
  73. West Lutheran - 39.03 (160)
  74. Isle - 39.01 (51)
  75. Battle Lake - 38.99 (161)
  76. Menahga - 38.92 (93)
  77. Randolph - 38.43 (101)
  78. Bethany Academy - 38.26 (162)
  79. Eagle Valley - 38.11 (18)
  80. Blooming Prairie - 37.99 (120)
  81. Southwest Christian - 37.77 (37)
  82. Westbrook-Walnut Grove - 37.76 (62)
  83. Hillcrest Lutheran Academy - 37.58 (164)
  84. Goodridge-Grygla - 37.53 (103)
  85. Fulda - 37.03 (21)
  86. Clearbrook-Gonvick - 37.03 (58)
  87. Park Christian - 36.6 (129)
  88. Bethlehem Academy - 36.43 (86)
  89. Royalton - 36.21 (105)
  90. Hills-Beaver Creek - 36.05 (87)
  91. Spectrum - 35.61 (124)
  92. Cherry - 35.56 (118)
  93. Spring Grove - 35.12 (148)
  94. Sleepy Eye Saint Mary's - 35 (96)
  95. Floodwood - 34.05 (80)
  96. Fillmore Central - 33.65 (20)
  97. Nicollet - 33.36 (117)
  98. Mesabi East - 33.17 (157)
  99. Babbitt-Embarrass - 33.17 (72)
  100. Canby - 32.92 (154)
  101. Verndale - 32.54 (46)
  102. Onamia - 31.87 (149)
  103. PACT Charter - 31.62 (12)
  104. Wabasha-Kellogg - 30.4 (90)
  105. Grand Meadow - 30.07 (69)
  106. Cook - 29.99 (24)
  107. Four Directions Charter - 29.79 (155)
  108. Mahnomen - 29.51 (77)
  109. Red Lake County - 29.07 (128)
  110. New Ulm Cathedral - 28.97 (138)
  111. Ashby - 28.52 (31)
  112. Madelia - 26.96 (75)
  113. Fertile-Beltrami - 26.73 (38)
  114. Calvin Christian - 0 (166)
  115. Kelliher/Northome - 0 (135)
  116. Norman County West - 0 (140)
  117. Northland - 0 (151)
  118. Alden-Conger - 0 (163)
  119. CHOF - 0 (11)
  120. Buffalo Lake-Hector-Stewart - 0 (41)
  121. Round Lake-Brewster - 0 (61)
  122. Parkers Prairie - 0 (65)
  123. Medford - 0 (76)
  124. Cannon Valley Lutheran - 0 (88)
  125. Lakeview - 0 (94)
  126. LeRoy-Ostrander - 0 (111)
  127. Renville County West - 0 (127)
  128. Underwood - 0 (130)
  129. Swanville - 0 (136)
  130. St. Paul Prep - 0 (152)
  131. Wheaton/Herman-Norcross - 0 (156)
  132. Liberty Classical Academy - 0 (166)
  133. Academy for Sciences & Ag - 0 (166)
  134. Lake Park-Audubon - 0 (1)
  135. Clinton-Graceville-Beardsley - 0 (2)
  136. Carlton - 0 (3)
  137. Atwater-Cosmos-Grove City - 0 (4)
  138. Schaeffer Academy - 0 (5)
  139. Red Rock Central - 0 (6)
  140. Edgerton - 0 (8)
  141. Martin Luther - 0 (9)
  142. Central MN Christian - 0 (10)
  143. Bug-O-Nay-Ge-Shig - 0 (13)
  144. Mesabi Academy - 0 (16)
  145. Lyle/Austin Pacelli - 0 (19)
  146. Metro Deaf School - 0 (22)
  147. Kerkhoven-Murdock-Sunburg - 0 (23)
  148. Ogilvie - 0 (25)
  149. Adrian - 0 (26)
  150. Ortonville - 0 (32)
  151. Hancock - 0 (33)
  152. Pillager - 0 (34)
  153. Climax/Fisher - 0 (44)
  154. Sacred Heart - 0 (45)
  155. Barnesville - 0 (49)
  156. Waubun - 0 (63)
  157. Mountain Iron-Buhl - 0 (67)
  158. E.C.H.O. Charter - 0 (68)
  159. Hmong Academy - 0 (71)
  160. Wrenshall - 0 (73)
  161. North Lakes Academy - 0 (78)
  162. Mabel-Canton - 0 (91)
  163. Wabasso - 0 (97)
  164. MN Academy for the Deaf - 0 (112)
  165. Lake of the Woods - 0 (114)
  166. Cleveland - 0 (119)
  167. Rothsay - 0 (134)
  168. Community of Peace Academy - 0 (165)
on

6 comments:

  1. 43hoopspimp12/20/10, 8:23 AM

    Commendable effort to put something together of this sort. But I guess I don't see what the point of any ranking though that appears to have so little accuracy.

    According to your ranking MTS is #12 in A? I don't care about A but find it difficult to buy this. In 4A any ranking that doesn't have Hopkins at #1 should be retooled to say the least.

    You mention you don't like the QRF ranking system but I would guess that ranking is a lot more accruate then this collection of teams.

    I'm guessing the Roseville team would disagree.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Twin Cities Hoops Czar12/20/10, 1:50 PM

    Pimp, the QRF for this week also has MTS at 12, Chisago Lakes in the top 10 (and we both know that's really not true) and Hopkins not #1 in AAAA. But the reasons you mention are why I also say in my explanation its only 1 tool to be used. Any computerized ranking is going to have that problem. I think you'll find over the course of the year that my rankings will generally parallel the QRF. I provide this because people love rankings, its sound mathematics and its a totally different and deeper look than the QRF. I think its a nice barometer to see how the teams have fared so far. MTS is the clear #1 in A but their 3 wins don't do anything to show that to the computers. A win over Springfield tonight will go a long way.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Twin Cities Hoops Czar12/20/10, 1:53 PM

    Roseville should be rewarded for what they've done so far. Beating a ranked Washburn team on the road that beat a quality Eden Prairie team is a good accomplishment so far. But they'll find out on Wednesday how good they really are when they visit Johnson.

    ReplyDelete
  4. 43hoopspimp12/20/10, 3:12 PM

    For example is it the assertion of your ranking that Roseville would beat Osseo by about 8 if they played or what exactly are you defining with the rating number?

    Oh and earlier we discussed whether or not Coon Rapids would be improved. You argued no and I thought yes.

    Ranking Czar 75
    Pimp 0

    ReplyDelete
  5. Twin Cities Hoops Czar12/20/10, 3:24 PM

    This isn't like the Sagarin ranking where it tries to predict point differential. I think the biggest misconception about rankings like this is that they predict future performance. All it does is reflect what you've done so far.

    I have Coon Rapids next to last in the CzarPI and I didn't think they'd be that bad. Shakopee dead last (in real RPI and CzarPI) might be the biggest shocker.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Twin Cities Hoops Czar12/20/10, 3:37 PM

    Note: I accidently omitted #1A Browerville when I copied in the CzarPI values the 1st time. The order of the remaining teams in class remains the same.

    ReplyDelete

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