Its opening week of the 2017-18 season and despite not officially starting until Thursday, it has plenty to offer. Let's get to it.
Wednesday
A couple of last minute tune up jamborees before the season starts. If you like big north metro schools, then Spring Lake Park is the place to be. 8 teams from the NW Suburban plus Fridley, St. Francis, Forest Lake and Mounds View are participating there.
If smaller schools are more your thing, then Jump City is for you. That's High School for Recording Arts in St. Paul. They'll host Humboldt, Highland Park, Maranatha, Brooklyn Center and Prairie Seeds Academy with each team playing twice. Both of those events start at 6 PM.
Thursday
Its a quiet opening night but quality is on the schedule. The highest profile local game is the battle for St. Paul supremacy with Central visiting Cretin-Derham Hall. That game is online so I may have comments on it after my game with the other St. Paul team looking for a title, Johnson. They have a sneaky good game against River Falls, WI to open the season. Jaxon Knotek played well over the summer and made himself into a NDSU commit.
The Minneapolis side has a couple of games of note as well. Roosevelt visits Orono in an early season matchup of 6AAA teams. No good matchup for Jarvis Omersa there but Roosevelt's guards vs the Orono guards is a good test. Rochester Lourdes visits Breck in a quality AA game as well.
Friday
Rare for a weeknight but one could pull off a 2 location tripleheader with the early Humboldt at Nova game and then a late girls/boys doubleheader at Trinity. Nothing incredibly sticks out but Johnson gets no break as they visit Brooklyn Center. Forest Lake also has the quick turnaround for a 7AAAA road game at Coon Rapids. Centennial at Roseville is an early season 5AAAA battle and is my prediction for the 4 vs 5 section game. Central Minnesota Christian comes in for a weekend doubleheader with SW Christian (Fri) and Heritage Christian (Sat)
Saturday
Speaking of Saturday, one could sit at the girls tipoff all day and wait for the boys games. I on the other hand will take the chance to watch St. Cloud Apollo at St. Louis Park in an early noon start. St. Louis Park is experienced, Apollo has talented youth and a new coach. Should make for an interesting game. Kasson-Mantorville visits Simley in a game that should have an impact on how these teams are seeded in 1AAA. Then its the 4 boys games at the girls tipoff.
Iowa City West is the top ranked team in Iowa with star Patrick McCaffrey. They'll take on De La Salle in the 3:45 game. Gabe Kalscheur vs McCaffrey is the appealing matchup there. But I would expect the worker bees from each team to get the defensive assignments and not much head to head. Expect a grind it out defensive battle.
Orono takes on Robbinsdale Armstrong in the 5:30 game. This was intended to be the Race Thompson vs Jarvis Omersa showdown but with Thompson leaving early for Indiana, that appeal is gone.
Cretin-Derham Hall shows up again on my radar for the 3rd time in a week. This time they get host Hopkins. That's the clear early season battle for #2 in the state AAAA poll. Oturu vs Hedstrom and Beauchamp vs Larson are fun matchups. But the most interesting matchup could be Sy Chatman vs Zeke Nnaji. Chatman stuck out with his play at the CDH jamboree on Saturday and in fall league. His game has definitely advanced.
In the late game, its East Ridge vs Minnehaha. These teams both return a ton. Ben Carlson needs to be a big factor inside in this one. If Javonni Bickham is in foul trouble for Minnehaha, that takes a major threat off the floor. Jalen Suggs so dangerous creating off the high pick and roll either for himself or for a bevy of outside shooters. The Raptors game plan against him will be interesting to see.
2017-18 Season in a Nutshell
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
The 2017-2018 Season Preview series concludes its 6 week run with my favorite preview. Its an overview of
what and who you need to see and when and where you can find it. This
is a higher level preview for the more casual fan who doesn't eat, sleep
and breathe hoops like many of us do. So with that in mind, we distill
the season down to some high points. For a list of all of the detailed previews, click here.
Local Events to Watch
Other Non-Conference Games to Watch
Local Players to Watch
2018
Its a great year for Gopher fans with 3 local seniors moving on Williams Arena next season (Kalscheur, Omersa, Oturu). Its not a coincidence that their teams will be looking to compete for state titles this season. Assuming De La Salle sees Orono in the 6AAA final, we'll get a full round robin of those 3 teams. Apple Valley and Minnehaha enter the season with a ton returning and favorites to repeat. De La Salle looks to plug in Jamison Battle for Goanar Mar and do the same in AAA. Delano and Austin from outside of section 6AAA and Orono in their section are the biggest threats to end the 6 year Islanders title streak. Class A becomes wide open with Minneapolis North moving up to AA. The Polars should compete again for a state title there. But they'll find AA is much deeper than single A ever was against them Lake City and St. Cloud Cathedral return a ton from state teams last year plus Annandale is still strong. Then you have Caledonia, Esko and Perham who are talented enough to win a title.
In AAAA, Cretin-Derham Hall and Hopkins stick out as the immediate threats to Apple Valley's throne. Park Center and East Ridge are talented enough to jump into that group as well. After that, its a down year in AAAA. The Metro West and NW Suburban are down and the South Suburban isn't as strong as past years. 4 teams in AAAA with no metro ties stick out for me. That's Rochester John Marshall, Rochester Mayo, Owatonna and St. Cloud Tech. So those with Woodbury, North St. Paul and the rest of the Lake conference stick out as a group that will stick around the back half of the state poll. Barring any major upsets, I think the top 4 seeds at state will be pretty clear (AV, CDH/Hopkins, Park Center). I see the 5th seed as a battle between Eden Prairie and the winner of section 1.
On the rules side, some fun points of emphasis this year. Intentional fouls are intended to be called much closer. We'll see what impact that has on the end of games. Officials can now formally warn a bench for misconduct. How that impacts coaching behavior will be interesting to see. On ball defense with guys bumping ball handlers is part of the emphasis too. Head and shoulders past the defender is the key to watch there. While Minnesota has a shot clock rule, we mostly don't use it. Wisconsin tried to put a full time rule in for 2019 and the WIAA has been shredded for how it was handled. Will that discussion and result drive any discussion and changes here?
Tre Jones should sweep the post season awards barring a catastrophe. The Mr Basketball award situation will be interesting to watch to see what the reaction is. I think their process will be fair. However, the committee was still picked by Ken Lien. While I personally don't find that an issue, the perception of many others is very different. I still feel the committee has done an absolutely terrible job of publicly denouncing the actions and addressing the perceptions. Both in terms of slow timing and soft messaging. I'm convinced the committee feels stronger than they've let on and for their sake I wish they would say it in public as a united group. The McDonald Award is a worthy alternative but I really wonder if it will get any traction at all. In a just world, the Mr Basketball award would just be turned over to the coaches association like its done in many other states. That would clean up much of the mess.
Local Events to Watch
- Dec 2 - Breakdown Girls Tipoff Classic at Hopkins (4 premier boys games)
- Dec 9 - Breakdown Boys Tipoff Classic at Hopkins
- Dec 16 - Southside Showcase at Burnsville
- Jan 15 - MLK events (Totino-Grace and South Mpls)
- January - Super 60 Events
Other Non-Conference Games to Watch
- Minnehaha at Apple Valley - Dec 7th (ESPN)
- Hopkins vs Minnehaha - Dec 23rd (projected tournament championship at Augsburg)
- Apple Valley vs Park Center - Dec 29th (at St. Cloud Apollo)
- Minnehaha vs Orono - Dec 30th (at St Cloud State)
- Cretin-Derham Hall vs Apple Valley - Dec 30th (at St. Cloud State)
- Hopkins at Orono - Jan 9th
- Minneapolis North at Minnehaha - Jan 25th
- Austin at Minnehaha - Feb 3rd
- De La Salle at Cretin-Derham Hall - Feb 10th
- Hopkins at Minneapolis North - Feb 13th
- Caledonia at Minnehaha - Feb 17th
Local Players to Watch
2018
- Joe Hedstrom - Hopkins
- Michael Jones - Woodbury
- Tre Jones - Apple Valley
- Gabe Kalscheur - De La Salle
- Jarvis Omersa - Orono
- Daniel Oturu - Cretin-Derham Hall
- Zeke Nnaji = Hopkins
- Tyrell Terry - De La Salle
- Ben Carlson - East Ridge
- Dain Dainja - Park Center
- Dawson Garcia - Prior Lake
- Jalen Suggs - Minnehaha
- Apple Valley
- Cretin-Derham Hall
- Hopkins
- Park Center
- East Ridge
- De La Salle
- Orono
- Minnehaha
- Minneapolis North
- Apple Valley - 40 wins (24 in a row overall)
- Heritage Christian Academy - 24 wins
- Champlin Park - 19 wins
- Minnehaha - 19 wins (19 in a row overall)
- De La Salle - 16 wins
- Minneapolis North - 15 wins
- Mounds Park Academy - 29 losses IMAC, 68 conference back Tri-Metro play
- South St. Paul - 43 losses total , 57 in a row at home
- Concordia-Roseville - 18 losses
- Stillwater - 14 losses
- PACT - 12 losses
Its a great year for Gopher fans with 3 local seniors moving on Williams Arena next season (Kalscheur, Omersa, Oturu). Its not a coincidence that their teams will be looking to compete for state titles this season. Assuming De La Salle sees Orono in the 6AAA final, we'll get a full round robin of those 3 teams. Apple Valley and Minnehaha enter the season with a ton returning and favorites to repeat. De La Salle looks to plug in Jamison Battle for Goanar Mar and do the same in AAA. Delano and Austin from outside of section 6AAA and Orono in their section are the biggest threats to end the 6 year Islanders title streak. Class A becomes wide open with Minneapolis North moving up to AA. The Polars should compete again for a state title there. But they'll find AA is much deeper than single A ever was against them Lake City and St. Cloud Cathedral return a ton from state teams last year plus Annandale is still strong. Then you have Caledonia, Esko and Perham who are talented enough to win a title.
In AAAA, Cretin-Derham Hall and Hopkins stick out as the immediate threats to Apple Valley's throne. Park Center and East Ridge are talented enough to jump into that group as well. After that, its a down year in AAAA. The Metro West and NW Suburban are down and the South Suburban isn't as strong as past years. 4 teams in AAAA with no metro ties stick out for me. That's Rochester John Marshall, Rochester Mayo, Owatonna and St. Cloud Tech. So those with Woodbury, North St. Paul and the rest of the Lake conference stick out as a group that will stick around the back half of the state poll. Barring any major upsets, I think the top 4 seeds at state will be pretty clear (AV, CDH/Hopkins, Park Center). I see the 5th seed as a battle between Eden Prairie and the winner of section 1.
On the rules side, some fun points of emphasis this year. Intentional fouls are intended to be called much closer. We'll see what impact that has on the end of games. Officials can now formally warn a bench for misconduct. How that impacts coaching behavior will be interesting to see. On ball defense with guys bumping ball handlers is part of the emphasis too. Head and shoulders past the defender is the key to watch there. While Minnesota has a shot clock rule, we mostly don't use it. Wisconsin tried to put a full time rule in for 2019 and the WIAA has been shredded for how it was handled. Will that discussion and result drive any discussion and changes here?
Tre Jones should sweep the post season awards barring a catastrophe. The Mr Basketball award situation will be interesting to watch to see what the reaction is. I think their process will be fair. However, the committee was still picked by Ken Lien. While I personally don't find that an issue, the perception of many others is very different. I still feel the committee has done an absolutely terrible job of publicly denouncing the actions and addressing the perceptions. Both in terms of slow timing and soft messaging. I'm convinced the committee feels stronger than they've let on and for their sake I wish they would say it in public as a united group. The McDonald Award is a worthy alternative but I really wonder if it will get any traction at all. In a just world, the Mr Basketball award would just be turned over to the coaches association like its done in many other states. That would clean up much of the mess.
2017-18 Section 8AAAA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 27th preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. Its the final class AAAA preview, a look at section 8AAAA. For a list of all the
season previews and how
they are
generated, click here.
Section 8AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Maple Grove
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Tuesday, March 6th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th at St. Cloud State
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at TBD (Neutral site based on teams)
Predicted Seeding
Sleeper: Maple Grove. No experience and no expectations after losing the entire rotation. But they do have some talent that hasn't had the chance to show on the big stage yet. By the end, they'll work the kinks out and be much better than early in the year.
Section Winner: St. Cloud Tech. This is the year they've built to. They are too deep and talented to not advance. A potential Spann-Ford vs Belka matchup in the final is very attractive.
Section 8AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Maple Grove
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Tuesday, March 6th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th at St. Cloud State
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at TBD (Neutral site based on teams)
Predicted Seeding
- St. Cloud Tech
- Rogers
- St. Michael-Albertville
- Elk River
- Maple Grove
- Brainerd
- Moorhead
- Buffalo
Sleeper: Maple Grove. No experience and no expectations after losing the entire rotation. But they do have some talent that hasn't had the chance to show on the big stage yet. By the end, they'll work the kinks out and be much better than early in the year.
Section Winner: St. Cloud Tech. This is the year they've built to. They are too deep and talented to not advance. A potential Spann-Ford vs Belka matchup in the final is very attractive.
2017-18 Section 7AAAA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 26th preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. The class AAAA previews move on to the often maligned section 7AAAA. For a list of all the
season previews and how
they are
generated, click here.
Section 7AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Andover
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th at Chisago Lakes
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at Chisago Lakes
Predicted Seeding
Sleeper: Cambridge-Isanti. Despite losing their top scorer, the Bluejackets have plenty of experience coming back and they play a unique system. Add in shooter like Henry Abraham and in this section they should be able to compete with everybody.
Section Winner: Forest Lake. This is more by default than anything. But the Rangers have enough firepower that they should withstand the competition.
Section 7AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Andover
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th at Chisago Lakes
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at Chisago Lakes
Predicted Seeding
- Forest Lake
- St. Francis
- Blaine
- Andover
- Cambridge-Isanti
- Duluth East
- Anoka
- Coon Rapids
Sleeper: Cambridge-Isanti. Despite losing their top scorer, the Bluejackets have plenty of experience coming back and they play a unique system. Add in shooter like Henry Abraham and in this section they should be able to compete with everybody.
Section Winner: Forest Lake. This is more by default than anything. But the Rangers have enough firepower that they should withstand the competition.
2017-18 Section 6AAAA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 25th preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. The class AAAA previews roll along with a look at section 6AAAA. For a list of all the
season previews and how
they are
generated, click here.
Section 6AAAA (7 teams)
Defending Champion: Wayzata
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Tuesday, March 6th
Semifinals: Friday, March 9th at Osseo
Finals: Wednesday, March 14th at Osseo
Predicted Seeding
Sleeper: Minneapolis South. Coach Joe Hyser always has his teams ready to go. They have plenty of experience coming back. Add in soph Curtis Jones as a scorer and the Tigers are the most likely to pull an upset.
Section Winner: Hopkins. The Royals were stung by the section final loss to Wayzata last year. As is the case in my Lake Conference picks, the big front line of Joe Hedstrom and Zeke Nnaji is the difference here.
Section 6AAAA (7 teams)
Defending Champion: Wayzata
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Tuesday, March 6th
Semifinals: Friday, March 9th at Osseo
Finals: Wednesday, March 14th at Osseo
Predicted Seeding
- Hopkins
- Wayzata
- St. Louis Park
- Robbinsdale Armstrong
- Minneapolis Washburn
- Minneapolis South
- Minneapolis Southwest
Sleeper: Minneapolis South. Coach Joe Hyser always has his teams ready to go. They have plenty of experience coming back. Add in soph Curtis Jones as a scorer and the Tigers are the most likely to pull an upset.
Section Winner: Hopkins. The Royals were stung by the section final loss to Wayzata last year. As is the case in my Lake Conference picks, the big front line of Joe Hedstrom and Zeke Nnaji is the difference here.
2017-18 Section 5AAAA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 24th preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. In this final week of previews, we finish our look at class AAAA and then finish up with our annual season overview on Friday. Today its section 5AAAA. For a list of all the
season previews and how
they are
generated, click here.
Section 5AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Champlin Park
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Tuesday, March 13th at Maple Grove
Finals: Friday, March 16th at Rogers
Predicted Seeding
Sleeper: Roseville. They finished strong last year and have some productive pieces returning. Add in Gary Smith from St. Agnes and the Raiders could surprise here.
Section Winner: Park Center. The Pirates have all the ingredients and their depth is a major difference. They won 10 straight before a 1 point loss to Osseo in sections. They should battle to be in the 2nd tier of teams behind Apple Valley this season.
Section 5AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Champlin Park
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Tuesday, March 13th at Maple Grove
Finals: Friday, March 16th at Rogers
Predicted Seeding
- Park Center
- Champlin Park
- Osseo
- Roseville
- Centennial
- Mounds View
- Spring Lake Park
- Irondale
Sleeper: Roseville. They finished strong last year and have some productive pieces returning. Add in Gary Smith from St. Agnes and the Raiders could surprise here.
Section Winner: Park Center. The Pirates have all the ingredients and their depth is a major difference. They won 10 straight before a 1 point loss to Osseo in sections. They should battle to be in the 2nd tier of teams behind Apple Valley this season.
2017-18 Section 4AAAA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 23rd preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. Continuing our look at the class AAAA sections, we move on to section 4. For a list of all the
season previews and how
they are
generated, click here.
Section 4AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Cretin-Derham Hall
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th at Hastings
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at Hastings
Predicted Seeding
Sleeper: Tartan. This will be the 1st year in a long time with no expectations as they lose almost everybody. But there is still talent there and a hall of fame coach in Mark Klingsporn who has taken teams to state.
Section Winner: Cretin-Derham Hall. Not betting against the defending section champs with everybody returning. East Ridge will be an extremely tough out this year and they are looking at a couple of great years ahead. Look for that 3rd meeting to be one the best section finals of the season.
Section 4AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Cretin-Derham Hall
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th at Hastings
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at Hastings
Predicted Seeding
- Cretin-Derham Hall
- East Ridge
- North St. Paul
- Woodbury
- St. Paul Central
- Tartan
- White Bear Lake
- Stillwater
Sleeper: Tartan. This will be the 1st year in a long time with no expectations as they lose almost everybody. But there is still talent there and a hall of fame coach in Mark Klingsporn who has taken teams to state.
Section Winner: Cretin-Derham Hall. Not betting against the defending section champs with everybody returning. East Ridge will be an extremely tough out this year and they are looking at a couple of great years ahead. Look for that 3rd meeting to be one the best section finals of the season.
2017-18 Section 3AAAA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 22nd preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. Continuing our look at the class AAAA sections, we move on to section 3. For a list of all the
season previews and how
they are
generated, click here.
Section 3AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Apple Valley
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Tuesday, March 6th
Semifinals: Friday, March 9th at Farmington
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at Farmington
Predicted Seeding
Sleeper: Henry Sibley. They have talented point guard Reshaun Satar returning and a couple of experienced juniors coming back. That gives them the best chance of the lower group to jump out.
Section Winner: Apple Valley. The defending state champs have most of the roster back and the top player in the state in Tre Jones. Plus its a terribly weak section so no problems here.
Section 3AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Apple Valley
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Tuesday, March 6th
Semifinals: Friday, March 9th at Farmington
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at Farmington
Predicted Seeding
- Apple Valley
- Eastview
- Burnsville
- Hastings
- Park
- Henry Sibley
- Rosemount
- Eagan
Sleeper: Henry Sibley. They have talented point guard Reshaun Satar returning and a couple of experienced juniors coming back. That gives them the best chance of the lower group to jump out.
Section Winner: Apple Valley. The defending state champs have most of the roster back and the top player in the state in Tre Jones. Plus its a terribly weak section so no problems here.
2017-18 Section 2AAAA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 21st preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. Continuing our look at the class AAAA sections we stay in the south metro with section 2AAAA. For a list of all the season previews and how
they are
generated, click here.
Section 2AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Chaska
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th at TBD
Finals: Friday, March 16th at TBD
Predicted Seeding
Sleeper: Minnetonka. With a talented point guard in Jalen Dearring and talent on the wings, the Skippers will not be an easy out. They also have experience.
Section Winner: Eden Prairie. They have a ton of guard firepower with Drake Dobbs and Kyler Kluge. Plus they have plenty of experience returning and will be battle tested by their normally difficult schedule.
Section 2AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Chaska
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th at TBD
Finals: Friday, March 16th at TBD
Predicted Seeding
- Eden Prairie
- Prior Lake
- Bloomington Jefferson
- Edina
- Minnetonka
- Chaska
- Shakopee
- Chanhassen
Sleeper: Minnetonka. With a talented point guard in Jalen Dearring and talent on the wings, the Skippers will not be an easy out. They also have experience.
Section Winner: Eden Prairie. They have a ton of guard firepower with Drake Dobbs and Kyler Kluge. Plus they have plenty of experience returning and will be battle tested by their normally difficult schedule.
2017-18 Section 1AAAA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 20th preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. Now we begin our look at all of the class AAAA sections going in numerical order. So that means we start with section 1. For a list of all the season previews and how
they are
generated, click here.
Section 1AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Lakeville North
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th at Rochester Civic Arena
Finals: Saturday, March 17th at Rochester Civic Arena
Predicted Seeding
Sleeper: Rochester Mayo. We know there's talent. How everything comes together is what remains to be seen.
Section Winner: Lakeville North. The Panthers have been the nemesis of Rochester John Marshall for the last 5 years in this section. Their experience and proven ability to reload will be big factors here. But they aren't at the same level as past years. The top 5 teams are all not that far apart so it should be a very entertaining section to watch.
Section 1AAAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Lakeville North
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th at Rochester Civic Arena
Finals: Saturday, March 17th at Rochester Civic Arena
Predicted Seeding
- Lakeville North
- Rochester John Marshall
- Rochester Mayo
- Owatonna
- Lakeville South
- New Prague
- Farmington
- Rochester Century
Sleeper: Rochester Mayo. We know there's talent. How everything comes together is what remains to be seen.
Section Winner: Lakeville North. The Panthers have been the nemesis of Rochester John Marshall for the last 5 years in this section. Their experience and proven ability to reload will be big factors here. But they aren't at the same level as past years. The top 5 teams are all not that far apart so it should be a very entertaining section to watch.
2017-18 Section 6AAA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 19th preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. Week 5 of this 6 week series begins with a
glance at the final metro area section in class AAA, loaded section 6. For a list of all the season previews and how
they are
generated, click here.
Section 6AAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: De La Salle
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at Chanhassen
New teams in the section
Sleeper: Robbinsdale Cooper. They've got a bunch of quick guards that can be very disruptive in Bo Powell system. In recent years the Hawks have been a bracket buster. So moving down, even into a tough section, I wouldn't be surprised to see it happen again.
Section Winner: Orono. So far in my predictions the top pick in each section has been pretty straight forward and clearly above the rest. Not here. Barry Wohler has been there and done that. He has an outstanding backcourt of Colton Codute and Max Bjorklund to go with Jarvis Thomas up front. Plus they have quality depth behind that. De La Salle has no good matchup for Thomas and Orono should be strong enough at the guard spots to get into sets. I'll take this as the year that the Islanders AAA streak ends.
Section 6AAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: De La Salle
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at Chanhassen
New teams in the section
- Minneapolis Roosevelt (4AA)
- Robbinsdale Cooper (6AAAA)
- Blake (5AA)
- Delano (5AAA)
- DeLaSalle
- Orono
- Waconia
- Minneapolis Roosevelt
- Robbinsdale Cooper
- Minneapolis Henry
- Benilde-St. Margaret's
- Mound-Westonka
Sleeper: Robbinsdale Cooper. They've got a bunch of quick guards that can be very disruptive in Bo Powell system. In recent years the Hawks have been a bracket buster. So moving down, even into a tough section, I wouldn't be surprised to see it happen again.
Section Winner: Orono. So far in my predictions the top pick in each section has been pretty straight forward and clearly above the rest. Not here. Barry Wohler has been there and done that. He has an outstanding backcourt of Colton Codute and Max Bjorklund to go with Jarvis Thomas up front. Plus they have quality depth behind that. De La Salle has no good matchup for Thomas and Orono should be strong enough at the guard spots to get into sets. I'll take this as the year that the Islanders AAA streak ends.
2017-18 Section 4AAA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 18th preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. To end week 4 of this 6 week series, I take a
look at section 4AAA. For this 2 year cycle, no changes to the section members. For a list of all the season previews and
how they are
generated, click here.
Section 4AAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Columbia Heights
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th at St. Paul Washington
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at St. Paul Washington
Predicted Seeding
Sleeper: St. Paul Johnson. The Govs have been the team to beat in this section for many years. After seeing their 13 year streak of St. Paul City conference championships snapped, they have most of the rotation returning.
Section Winner: Columbia Heights. The Hylanders have most of their roster back from last year's state qualifier. Plus the section isn't as good. With Wendell Matthews inside, Deaundra Robersonand Christian Kelly on the the wings and point guard Quentin Hardrict running the show from that team, there are quality pieces at all positions.
Section 4AAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: Columbia Heights
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Wednesday, March 7th
Semifinals: Saturday, March 10th at St. Paul Washington
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at St. Paul Washington
Predicted Seeding
- Columbia Heights
- Totino-Grace
- St. Anthony
- Mahtomedi
- St. Paul Johnson
- Fridley
- St. Paul Como Park
- Hill-Murray
Sleeper: St. Paul Johnson. The Govs have been the team to beat in this section for many years. After seeing their 13 year streak of St. Paul City conference championships snapped, they have most of the rotation returning.
Section Winner: Columbia Heights. The Hylanders have most of their roster back from last year's state qualifier. Plus the section isn't as good. With Wendell Matthews inside, Deaundra Robersonand Christian Kelly on the the wings and point guard Quentin Hardrict running the show from that team, there are quality pieces at all positions.
2017-18 Section 3AAA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 17th preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. As week 4 of the 6 week preview series moves along, I start my look at the local
AAA sections with section 3AAA. For a list of all the season previews and how they are
generated, click here.
Section 3AAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: St. Thomas Academy
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Tuesday, March 6th
Semifinals: Friday, March 9th at Bloomington Jefferson
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at Bloomington Jefferson
New teams in the section
Note on Simley who moves south to section 1AAA. Austin is the clear favorite there. With Byron and Stewartville dropping down to AA, Simley should get a first round game and I'll pick them to advance past it and then go out in the semis.
Sleeper: Richfield. The Spartans made a run to the section final in a weak section last year. They took St. Thomas Academy right to the wire. If any team outside the top 2 in this section is going to do that, it'll be Richfield again. They have a scorer in Devin Wade-Henderson and a couple of other experienced returnees that give them the experience and talent to fit.
Section Winner: St. Thomas Academy. The Cadets have the experience and 2 talented leaders in Jack Thompson and Sam Vascellaro to lead them back to the state tourney.
Section 3AAA (8 teams)
Defending Champion: St. Thomas Academy
Tournament Schedule:
Quarterfinals: Tuesday, March 6th
Semifinals: Friday, March 9th at Bloomington Jefferson
Finals: Thursday, March 15th at Bloomington Jefferson
New teams in the section
- St. Croix Lutheran (4AA)
- Simley (1AAA)
- St. Thomas Academy
- St. Croix Lutheran
- St. Paul Highland Park
- Bloomington Kennedy
- Richfield
- Holy Angels
- St. Paul Harding
- South St. Paul
Note on Simley who moves south to section 1AAA. Austin is the clear favorite there. With Byron and Stewartville dropping down to AA, Simley should get a first round game and I'll pick them to advance past it and then go out in the semis.
Sleeper: Richfield. The Spartans made a run to the section final in a weak section last year. They took St. Thomas Academy right to the wire. If any team outside the top 2 in this section is going to do that, it'll be Richfield again. They have a scorer in Devin Wade-Henderson and a couple of other experienced returnees that give them the experience and talent to fit.
Section Winner: St. Thomas Academy. The Cadets have the experience and 2 talented leaders in Jack Thompson and Sam Vascellaro to lead them back to the state tourney.
2017-18 Section 5AA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 16th preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. In this preview, a look at section 5AA. For a list of
all the season previews and how they are
generated, click here.
Section 5AA (16 teams)
Defending Champion: Annandale
Tournament Schedule:
Round of 16: Thursday, March 8th
Quarterfinals: Saturday, March 10th at St. Michael-Albertville
Semifinals: Wednesday, March 14th at St. Michael-Albertville
Finals: Friday, March 16th 8 PM at St. Cloud State
New teams in the section
Minneapolis North goes in the top spot as they have Odell Wilson inside, Tayler Johnson outside and a truckload of athletes that these teams just can't replicate. Brooklyn Center has plenty back and should be in or around the rankings all year. Holy Family won only 10 games during the regular season last year. But they upset the Centaurs in the quarters and were a miracle buzzer-beater from the section final. Now the Fire return everybody from last year. The record may not show it because of the gauntlet known as the Wright County East but that schedule will benefit them come section time.
Maranatha and Breck are the next tier of teams with their stars David Roddy and Beijan Newbern being a level above the remainder of the section. Litchfield has Owen Boerema coming back and SW Christian has guard firepower in the next group. Providence will look to jump in that group with Matt Richelsen. 1 more group of 3 before PACT and ISM fight it out for the final spot.
In 6AA, I see Spectrum going out in a 1st round road game.
Sleeper: SW Christian. Their shooting and nasty matchup zone are both able to keep them in any game. In a 1 and done scenario, that's always a chance.
Section Winner: Minneapolis North. Too athletic and having Odell Wilson inside means they still advance. But they won't have a cakewalk like Minnehaha as the top of the section has plenty of quality.
Section 5AA (16 teams)
Defending Champion: Annandale
Tournament Schedule:
Round of 16: Thursday, March 8th
Quarterfinals: Saturday, March 10th at St. Michael-Albertville
Semifinals: Wednesday, March 14th at St. Michael-Albertville
Finals: Friday, March 16th 8 PM at St. Cloud State
New teams in the section
- Blake (6AAA)
- Maranatha Christian (4A)
- Minneapolis North (4A)
- Annandale (6AA)
- Eden Valley-Watkins (6AA)
- Maple Lake (6AA)
- Minneapolis Edison (4AA)
- Paynesville (3AA)
- Spectrum (6AA)
- Minneapolis North
- Brooklyn Center
- Holy Family
- Maranatha
- Breck
- Litchfield
- Southwest Christian
- Rockford
- Providence
- Watertown-Mayer
- Blake
- HLWW
- PACT
- International School
Minneapolis North goes in the top spot as they have Odell Wilson inside, Tayler Johnson outside and a truckload of athletes that these teams just can't replicate. Brooklyn Center has plenty back and should be in or around the rankings all year. Holy Family won only 10 games during the regular season last year. But they upset the Centaurs in the quarters and were a miracle buzzer-beater from the section final. Now the Fire return everybody from last year. The record may not show it because of the gauntlet known as the Wright County East but that schedule will benefit them come section time.
Maranatha and Breck are the next tier of teams with their stars David Roddy and Beijan Newbern being a level above the remainder of the section. Litchfield has Owen Boerema coming back and SW Christian has guard firepower in the next group. Providence will look to jump in that group with Matt Richelsen. 1 more group of 3 before PACT and ISM fight it out for the final spot.
In 6AA, I see Spectrum going out in a 1st round road game.
Sleeper: SW Christian. Their shooting and nasty matchup zone are both able to keep them in any game. In a 1 and done scenario, that's always a chance.
Section Winner: Minneapolis North. Too athletic and having Odell Wilson inside means they still advance. But they won't have a cakewalk like Minnehaha as the top of the section has plenty of quality.
2017-18 Section 4AA Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 15th preview in my 2017-2018
season preview series. In this preview, a look at section 4AA. For a list of all the season previews and how they are
generated, click here.
Section 4AA (16 teams)
Defending Champion: Minnehaha Academy (2017 State AA Champion)
Tournament Schedule:
Round of 16: Thursday, March 8th
Quarterfinals: Saturday, March 10th
Semifinals: Tuesday, March 13th at St. Paul Washington
Finals: Friday, March 16th at St. Paul Washington
New teams in the section
Sleeper: St. Paul Washington. They'll play a schedule that preps them for section play (Trinity tourney will be telling for them and the section). Add in soph forward Drewjuan White as an athlete and maybe they steal a game or 2.
Section Winner: Minnehaha. With everybody back and the top player in the section in Jalen Suggs returning for the defending state champs, no way I can bet against that.
Section 4AA (16 teams)
Defending Champion: Minnehaha Academy (2017 State AA Champion)
Tournament Schedule:
Round of 16: Thursday, March 8th
Quarterfinals: Saturday, March 10th
Semifinals: Tuesday, March 13th at St. Paul Washington
Finals: Friday, March 16th at St. Paul Washington
New teams in the section
- Cristo Rey Jesuit (4A)
- Minneapolis Edison (5AA)
- Nova Classical Academy (4A)
- Minneapolis Roosevelt (6AAA)
- Mounds Park Academy (4A)
- St. Croix Lutheran (3AAA)
- Minnehaha
- Trinity
- Cristo Rey
- New Life Academy
- Concordia Academy
- St. Paul Prep
- Nova Classical
- St. Paul Washington
- St. Croix Prep
- St. Paul Academy
- St. Agnes
- St. Paul Humboldt
- AFSA
- Minneapolis Edison
- Math and Science
- Charter Stars
Sleeper: St. Paul Washington. They'll play a schedule that preps them for section play (Trinity tourney will be telling for them and the section). Add in soph forward Drewjuan White as an athlete and maybe they steal a game or 2.
Section Winner: Minnehaha. With everybody back and the top player in the section in Jalen Suggs returning for the defending state champs, no way I can bet against that.
2017-18 Section 4A Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 14th preview in my 2017-2018 season preview series. In the 1st half of the previews, I took a look at 117
teams and 12 conferences. Now I move
on to phase 2 of the previews. Over the next 3 weeks, I'll take a look
at 14 sections including all of class AAAA. That will include looks at some section teams that I haven't done yet plus some sprinkled comments about teams we looked at that aren't in the 14 sections being previewed. Let's start with a look at
Section 4A. For
a list of all the season previews and how they are generated, click here.
Section 4A (22 Teams)
Defending Champion: Minneapolis North (2016 and 2017 State Champs)
Tournament Schedule:
Play-Ins: Monday, March 5th
Round of 16: Thursday, March 8th
Quarterfinals: Saturday, March 10th
Semifinals: Tuesday, March 13th at Anoka-Ramsey Community College
Finals: Friday, March 16th at Anoka-Ramsey Community College
New teams in the section
So that means a very down year in the section. The best half of the MCAA by my projections isn't in the section and 3 of the better TCAC teams are in AA. Jamar Robinson at PSA and Joey Erickson at Hope are all a handful in this section. So those stick out as the top 2. But there's not a huge gap there so I see it as very competitive. Then there's a whole bunch of mediocre teams that could end up anywhere. So this year is there for the taking for the TCAC teams and I see them getting it done.
Also a quick note here on MCAA member Lester Prairie/Holy Trinity. They are in stuck in tough section 2A with teams like Cleveland and Mayer Lutheran in their subsection and Springfield on the other side. I picked Springfield to win class A in my Breakdown book predictions (spoiler alert, buy the book now). The Bulldogs win a 1st round home game but then go out to either Cleveland or Mayer Lutheran in the North subsection semis.
Minnesota State Academy for the Deaf if they play the tournament series in section 1A is likely looking at going out in a pigtail game.
Sleeper: Learning for Leadership. With 25 PPG guy Kafi Abdi back and a down section, maybe this group of Mustangs makes a run.
Section Winner: Prairie Seeds Academy. They've made a run in the section the last 2 years so the program experience is there. With one of the best players in the section, I can see them making another long run.
Section 4A (22 Teams)
Defending Champion: Minneapolis North (2016 and 2017 State Champs)
Tournament Schedule:
Play-Ins: Monday, March 5th
Round of 16: Thursday, March 8th
Quarterfinals: Saturday, March 10th
Semifinals: Tuesday, March 13th at Anoka-Ramsey Community College
Finals: Friday, March 16th at Anoka-Ramsey Community College
New teams in the section
- Christian Life (1A)
- Hmong Academy (4AA)
- Mounds Park Academy (4AA)
- Cristo Rey Jesuit (4AA)
- Minneapolis North (5AA)
- Maranatha Christian (5AA)
- Nova Classical (4AA)
- Prairie Seeds
- Hope Academy
- CHOF
- Heritage
- Christian Life
- Learning for Leadership
So that means a very down year in the section. The best half of the MCAA by my projections isn't in the section and 3 of the better TCAC teams are in AA. Jamar Robinson at PSA and Joey Erickson at Hope are all a handful in this section. So those stick out as the top 2. But there's not a huge gap there so I see it as very competitive. Then there's a whole bunch of mediocre teams that could end up anywhere. So this year is there for the taking for the TCAC teams and I see them getting it done.
Also a quick note here on MCAA member Lester Prairie/Holy Trinity. They are in stuck in tough section 2A with teams like Cleveland and Mayer Lutheran in their subsection and Springfield on the other side. I picked Springfield to win class A in my Breakdown book predictions (spoiler alert, buy the book now). The Bulldogs win a 1st round home game but then go out to either Cleveland or Mayer Lutheran in the North subsection semis.
Minnesota State Academy for the Deaf if they play the tournament series in section 1A is likely looking at going out in a pigtail game.
Sleeper: Learning for Leadership. With 25 PPG guy Kafi Abdi back and a down section, maybe this group of Mustangs makes a run.
Section Winner: Prairie Seeds Academy. They've made a run in the section the last 2 years so the program experience is there. With one of the best players in the section, I can see them making another long run.
2017-18 Suburban East Conference Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 13th preview in my 2017-2018 season preview series. In
this preview, we reach the mid-point of this 6 week series. The
conference previews end here with a look at the Suburban East
Conference. Next week, we start looking at the metro area sections.
For a list of all the season previews and how they were generated, click here.
Cretin-Derham Hall Raiders (2016-17 season 23-9, 13-3 Conference, 3rd)
Coach Jerry Kline returns a loaded lineup with his entire starting 5 coming back. Minnesota commit Daniel Oturu mans the middle and leads the team in scoring at 19.6 PPG. PG Ryan Larson (13.7) and wings Jake Prince and Jaeden King also averaged double figures. Sy Chatman returns inside as well. Plus the Raiders have a ton of backup options at the wing spots.
East Ridge Raptors (2016-17 season 22-6, 14-2 Conference, Tie 1st)
Head coach Paul Virgin retired and has been replaced by Bryce Tesdahl. Tesdahl comes over after a couple of very nice seasons at New Prague. He has some great talent to build with. Junior wing Courtney Brown (19.5 PPG), soph F Ben Carlson (11.5 PPG) and frosh wing Kendall Brown are highly regarded prospects in their classes. Shooter Nick Christensen (14.7 PPG) and forward Zach Bennett (8.6 PPG) are the main losses. TJ Kelly looks to slot in at a guard spot.
Forest Lake Rangers (2016-17 season 19-10, 10-6 Conference, 4th)
PG Jake Larson (20.1 PPG) and Mitch Jerde (16.2 PPG) were the 2 double figure scorers and need to be replaced. That should be handled by the shooting of transfer Manny Jingco who was Stillwater's top scorer at 20.6 PPG last season. Junior F John Schrader (9.9 PPG) returns to the starting lineup. Seniors Thad Ball and Connor Hale return in the backcourt.
Mounds View Mustangs (2016-17 season 12-16, 7-9 Conference, 6th)
SG Nick McMillan and his 21 PPG have graduated along with F Brian Stone (11.9 PPG). Center Michael Fahim is the top returnee at 6.4 PPG. Brendan Kauls also returns inside (3.6 PPG). Josh Albers returns as the top perimeter option (4.9 PPG)
Park Wolfpack (2016-17 season 7-20, 1-15 Conference, Tie 8th)
JV coach Mike Weah steps up to the head spot to replace Ed Cassidy. Junior forward Charlie Gorres was the team leader at 14.9 PPG last season. The next 2 scorers including 14.8 PPG from Brendan Beaulieu need to be replaced. Junior F Rodney Jefferson is an athletic wing and averaged 8 PPG. Junior Jeremiah Smith gives them a big body inside. Cole Herder returns at a guard spot.
Roseville Raiders (2016-17 season 9-18, 8-8 Conference, 5th)
The Raiders got off to a 2-11 start but finished 7-7 and dead even in Suburban East play. Junior G Jovan Hunter returns after leading the team with 11.5 PPG last season. But the biggest changes are 2 transfers. Ray'Sean Treadwell to had to play JV last year after seeing minutes at Cretin-Derham Hall 2 years ago. Gary Smith was the top guy at St. Agnes last year. Those are a pair of explosive wings. Juniors Mario Dukes and Yohanes Gebeyehu are other guard options with senior Avery Nelson. Nolan Wald returns with size.
Stillwater Ponies (2016-17 season 3-24, 1-15 Conference, Tie 8th)
Leading scorer Manny Jingco (20.6 PPG) left for league rival Forest Lake. Senior Devontae Hatcher is the top returning scorer at 8.7 PPG. Evan Parker and Josh Lorenson return to the rotation. PG Nate Shikenjanski also returns.
White Bear Lake Bears (2016-17 season 6-21, 4-12 Conference, 7th)
The youth movement continued last year for the Bears. This year they return their 3 top scorers all in double figures. Blake Charles (11 PPG) and Jeremy Beckler (10.3 PPG) make up the front line. Sam Schwartz (10.8 PPG) returns on the perimeter. Austin Schochet (5.9 PPG) and Josh Griefenhagen (5.7 PPG) are other experienced perimeter players.
Woodbury Royals (2016-17 season 20-8, 14-2 Conference, Tie 1st)
Davidson commit Michael Jones returns and should be one of the state's top scorers after averaging 25.2 PPG last season. That's only partly due to losing the next 5 scorers on the roster. The guard duo of Jeremiah Coddon and Jake West (over 28 PPG combined) plus shooter Ike Thilgen were all in double figures. Guard DJ Fleming has the most returning experience of the guards. Football star David Alston is a possible inside option. Senior Ryan Christensen and Soph Drew Bramlett should move into the rotation.
Predicted Order of Finish
The top is a clear battle between Cretin-Derham Hall and East Ridge. Those are 2 elite AAAA teams above the rest of the league. The group of 3 are solid teams with no size. Forest Lake is sound and Manny Jingco gives them a quality scorer. Michael Jones is my MVP of the league so Woodbury can't drop that far, but how much help does he have. Roseville took early lumps but was vastly improved in the 2nd half. Add in a couple of high flying guys on the wing and they move up. White Bear Lake didn't have a good win last year but they have a lot coming back. Mounds View won't wow you but they'll be sound. Park and Stillwater bring up the rear.
Conference MVP: Michael Jones - Woodbury
Underclassmen to watch:
Cretin-Derham Hall Raiders (2016-17 season 23-9, 13-3 Conference, 3rd)
Coach Jerry Kline returns a loaded lineup with his entire starting 5 coming back. Minnesota commit Daniel Oturu mans the middle and leads the team in scoring at 19.6 PPG. PG Ryan Larson (13.7) and wings Jake Prince and Jaeden King also averaged double figures. Sy Chatman returns inside as well. Plus the Raiders have a ton of backup options at the wing spots.
East Ridge Raptors (2016-17 season 22-6, 14-2 Conference, Tie 1st)
Head coach Paul Virgin retired and has been replaced by Bryce Tesdahl. Tesdahl comes over after a couple of very nice seasons at New Prague. He has some great talent to build with. Junior wing Courtney Brown (19.5 PPG), soph F Ben Carlson (11.5 PPG) and frosh wing Kendall Brown are highly regarded prospects in their classes. Shooter Nick Christensen (14.7 PPG) and forward Zach Bennett (8.6 PPG) are the main losses. TJ Kelly looks to slot in at a guard spot.
Forest Lake Rangers (2016-17 season 19-10, 10-6 Conference, 4th)
PG Jake Larson (20.1 PPG) and Mitch Jerde (16.2 PPG) were the 2 double figure scorers and need to be replaced. That should be handled by the shooting of transfer Manny Jingco who was Stillwater's top scorer at 20.6 PPG last season. Junior F John Schrader (9.9 PPG) returns to the starting lineup. Seniors Thad Ball and Connor Hale return in the backcourt.
Mounds View Mustangs (2016-17 season 12-16, 7-9 Conference, 6th)
SG Nick McMillan and his 21 PPG have graduated along with F Brian Stone (11.9 PPG). Center Michael Fahim is the top returnee at 6.4 PPG. Brendan Kauls also returns inside (3.6 PPG). Josh Albers returns as the top perimeter option (4.9 PPG)
Park Wolfpack (2016-17 season 7-20, 1-15 Conference, Tie 8th)
JV coach Mike Weah steps up to the head spot to replace Ed Cassidy. Junior forward Charlie Gorres was the team leader at 14.9 PPG last season. The next 2 scorers including 14.8 PPG from Brendan Beaulieu need to be replaced. Junior F Rodney Jefferson is an athletic wing and averaged 8 PPG. Junior Jeremiah Smith gives them a big body inside. Cole Herder returns at a guard spot.
Roseville Raiders (2016-17 season 9-18, 8-8 Conference, 5th)
The Raiders got off to a 2-11 start but finished 7-7 and dead even in Suburban East play. Junior G Jovan Hunter returns after leading the team with 11.5 PPG last season. But the biggest changes are 2 transfers. Ray'Sean Treadwell to had to play JV last year after seeing minutes at Cretin-Derham Hall 2 years ago. Gary Smith was the top guy at St. Agnes last year. Those are a pair of explosive wings. Juniors Mario Dukes and Yohanes Gebeyehu are other guard options with senior Avery Nelson. Nolan Wald returns with size.
Stillwater Ponies (2016-17 season 3-24, 1-15 Conference, Tie 8th)
Leading scorer Manny Jingco (20.6 PPG) left for league rival Forest Lake. Senior Devontae Hatcher is the top returning scorer at 8.7 PPG. Evan Parker and Josh Lorenson return to the rotation. PG Nate Shikenjanski also returns.
White Bear Lake Bears (2016-17 season 6-21, 4-12 Conference, 7th)
The youth movement continued last year for the Bears. This year they return their 3 top scorers all in double figures. Blake Charles (11 PPG) and Jeremy Beckler (10.3 PPG) make up the front line. Sam Schwartz (10.8 PPG) returns on the perimeter. Austin Schochet (5.9 PPG) and Josh Griefenhagen (5.7 PPG) are other experienced perimeter players.
Woodbury Royals (2016-17 season 20-8, 14-2 Conference, Tie 1st)
Davidson commit Michael Jones returns and should be one of the state's top scorers after averaging 25.2 PPG last season. That's only partly due to losing the next 5 scorers on the roster. The guard duo of Jeremiah Coddon and Jake West (over 28 PPG combined) plus shooter Ike Thilgen were all in double figures. Guard DJ Fleming has the most returning experience of the guards. Football star David Alston is a possible inside option. Senior Ryan Christensen and Soph Drew Bramlett should move into the rotation.
Predicted Order of Finish
- Cretin-Derham Hall
- East Ridge
- Forest Lake
- Roseville
- Woodbury
- White Bear Lake
- Mounds View
- Park
- Stillwater
The top is a clear battle between Cretin-Derham Hall and East Ridge. Those are 2 elite AAAA teams above the rest of the league. The group of 3 are solid teams with no size. Forest Lake is sound and Manny Jingco gives them a quality scorer. Michael Jones is my MVP of the league so Woodbury can't drop that far, but how much help does he have. Roseville took early lumps but was vastly improved in the 2nd half. Add in a couple of high flying guys on the wing and they move up. White Bear Lake didn't have a good win last year but they have a lot coming back. Mounds View won't wow you but they'll be sound. Park and Stillwater bring up the rear.
Conference MVP: Michael Jones - Woodbury
Underclassmen to watch:
- Amari Carter - Cretin-Derham Hall
- Ben Carlson, Kendall Brown - East Ridge
- Jake Radabaugh - Mounds View
- TJ Favilla - Roseville
- Matt Moore, Ben Snyder - Stillwater
- Drew Bramlett - Woodbury
- East Ridge at Cretin-Derham Hall - Dec 15th
- Cretin-Derham Hall at East Ridge - Jan 30th
- East Ridge vs Minnehaha - Dec 2nd (Girls Tipoff Classic at Hopkins)
- Cretin-Derham Hall at Hopkins - Dec 2nd (Girls Tipoff Classic at Hopkins)
- Cretin-Derham Hall vs Orono - Dec 9th (Tipoff Classic at Hopkins)
- Cretin-Derham Hall at St. Thomas Academy - Dec 23rd
- East Ridge at Wayzata - Feb 6th
- De La Salle at Cretin-Derham Hall - Feb 10th
2017-18 South Suburban Conference Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 12th preview in my 2017-18 Season Preview Series. In this preview, we head south for a look at the South Suburban
Conference. For a list of all the season previews
and how they are generated, click here.
Apple Valley Eagles (2016-17 season 30-2, 18-0 Conference, 1st)
The defending class AAAA state champs return almost everybody so they are the favorite again. This is the 9th and final year of the Jones era. Senior PG Tre Jones will attend Duke next year. He averaged 23.4 PPG, 10.1 RPG, and 7.5 APG last year. Winona St commit Luke Martens (10.6 PPG) returns on the wing. Harvard FB commit Spencer Rolland returns in the middle. I expect a breakout season from Nathan Macho on the wing as he'll pick up touches to replace Mohamed Kone.
Burnsville Blaze (2016-17 season 11-17, 7-11 Conference, 7th)
The Blaze have to replace their top 3 double figure scorers including Matt Baisch (11.6 PPG). The perimeter has experience with junior returnees Julian Hutchinson (10.3 PPG) and Marcus Shepley. Ty Miklowski and Drew Ihenacho return inside. Max May and soph Josh Kamara are other pieces of the rotation.
Eagan Wildcats (2016-17 season 8-19, 5-13 Conference, 8th)
Former Wayzata top lieutenant Josh Peltier takes over the program. Soph PG Jaylen James topped the team in scoring last year at 7.9 PPG. Cam Lachance also returns to the rotation. Many other players saw minutes in a rough season last year. Forward Jaren Tschetter is a top scoring option depending how he comes back from a 2nd knee injury.
Eastview Lightning (2016-17 season 13-15, 9-9 Conference, 5th)
Eastview has to replace their top 3 scorers. That includes PG Jameson Bryan (18.2 PPG), now at Augustana, and shooter Mason Carpenter (16.1 PPG). Soph forward Tate Machacek is the top returnee with 8.6 PPG. That will go up significantly this year. He can play inside or outside and leads a talented group of sophomores that I expect to be very good in 2 years. Junior Isaak Raspberry will take over the point guard duties. Essam Ibrahim and Will Barry also return to the rotation.
Farmington Tigers (2016-17 season 8-19, 3-15 Conference, 10th)
Wing Sam Wilson and his 21.1 PPG need to be replaced. Forward Caden Freetly is the top returning scorer with 8.4 PPG. He'll be the biggest player. Brock Mogenson and junior Adam Weed are returning starters. The junior trio of Miles Mendes, Jameson Shrum and Brady Bean saw a ton of minutes last year. Who picks up the scoring from Wilson is my big question.
Lakeville North Panthers (2016-17 season 28-4, 16-2 Conference, 2nd)
Coach John Oxton has to replace the 25.9 PPG and 12.1 RPG from Wisconsin recruit Nate Reuvers. Guard Ethan Igbanugo (13.5 PPG) also needs to be replaced. He was an under appreciated defender and scorer. Junior forward Tyler Wahl (9.2 PPG) is the only member of the top 6 scorers coming back. Expect him to have a big season . Tyler Lewko returns inside. Spencer Fossey, Owen Blascziek, Cole Andersen and junior shooter Tommy Jenson will make up a solid backcourt.
Lakeville South Cougars (2016-17 season 15-13, 12-6 Conference, 3rd)
New AD Tom Dasovich brings over old pal Joe Janquart from North St. Paul to be the new head coach. He has UW-Milwaukee commit Shae Mitchell (15.8 PPG) on the wing to build around. Beau Bailey is another wing and Cooper Jackson is a tough undersized point guard. Freshman Riley Mahlman is an option in the middle with a group of senior bangers. The shooting of Jack Sorenson (21.8 PPG) and Cade Carlson (6.3 PPG) will be missed.
Prior Lake Lakers (2016-17 season 14-11, 10-8 Conference, 4th)
5 of the top 6 scorers have graduated. But the one that returns is one of the state's top sophomores, forward Dawson Garcia. He'll take over as the top option and I can see him doubling his 8.8 PPG from last year. Junior Robert Jones has a UWGB offer and will man the middle. Brandon Collins and Pat Bernick also return to the lineup.
Rosemount Irish (2016-17 season 15-14, 7-11 Conference, 6th)
New head coach Lance Walsten returns to the league. He comes from Faribault but was previously an assistant at Lakeville North. He has to replace the twin towers of Alec and Luke Loehr who are now at Navy. They combined for almost 37 PPG last year. PG Myka Edmond and his 11 PPG also need to be replaced. Luke Siwek is the top returnee (11.6 PPG) and will be the main offensive option. Junior guard Andrew Reuter will see a bigger role.
Shakopee Sabers (2016-17 season 4-23, 3-15 Conference, 9th)
Shakopee went with a very young lineup playing 3 and sometimes 4 freshmen last year. Leading scorer Jake Kutina (11.9 PPG) needs to be replaced. Most of the rest of the rotation returns. Sophs Charlie Katona (11.9 PPG), Will Cordes (5.6 PPG) and Caleb Druvenga (5.5 PPG) are the top returning scorers. Seniors Addison Leininger, Luke Budin and Martin McKinney also return. They also should have Garrett Mitchell back from a knee injury that cost him last season. There's not much size available.
Predicted Order of Finish
Apple Valley is the easy pick for the top spot. Behind them, I think there's a group of 4 teams. Lakeville North will be lacking experience but they can really shoot it and will just reload. Lakeville South, Prior Lake and Eastview all have a couple of nice pieces to build around. Burnsville has enough returning to be next. Shakopee will be improved but they're looking down the road with their sophomores. The bottom 3 have to find ways to score. Farmington is a year ahead in the rebuild so I'll take them over the 2 remaining teams with new coaches. Luke Siwek gets the nod to keep Rosemount out of the cellar.
Conference MVP: Tre Jones - Apple Valley
Underclassmen to watch:
Apple Valley Eagles (2016-17 season 30-2, 18-0 Conference, 1st)
The defending class AAAA state champs return almost everybody so they are the favorite again. This is the 9th and final year of the Jones era. Senior PG Tre Jones will attend Duke next year. He averaged 23.4 PPG, 10.1 RPG, and 7.5 APG last year. Winona St commit Luke Martens (10.6 PPG) returns on the wing. Harvard FB commit Spencer Rolland returns in the middle. I expect a breakout season from Nathan Macho on the wing as he'll pick up touches to replace Mohamed Kone.
Burnsville Blaze (2016-17 season 11-17, 7-11 Conference, 7th)
The Blaze have to replace their top 3 double figure scorers including Matt Baisch (11.6 PPG). The perimeter has experience with junior returnees Julian Hutchinson (10.3 PPG) and Marcus Shepley. Ty Miklowski and Drew Ihenacho return inside. Max May and soph Josh Kamara are other pieces of the rotation.
Eagan Wildcats (2016-17 season 8-19, 5-13 Conference, 8th)
Former Wayzata top lieutenant Josh Peltier takes over the program. Soph PG Jaylen James topped the team in scoring last year at 7.9 PPG. Cam Lachance also returns to the rotation. Many other players saw minutes in a rough season last year. Forward Jaren Tschetter is a top scoring option depending how he comes back from a 2nd knee injury.
Eastview Lightning (2016-17 season 13-15, 9-9 Conference, 5th)
Eastview has to replace their top 3 scorers. That includes PG Jameson Bryan (18.2 PPG), now at Augustana, and shooter Mason Carpenter (16.1 PPG). Soph forward Tate Machacek is the top returnee with 8.6 PPG. That will go up significantly this year. He can play inside or outside and leads a talented group of sophomores that I expect to be very good in 2 years. Junior Isaak Raspberry will take over the point guard duties. Essam Ibrahim and Will Barry also return to the rotation.
Farmington Tigers (2016-17 season 8-19, 3-15 Conference, 10th)
Wing Sam Wilson and his 21.1 PPG need to be replaced. Forward Caden Freetly is the top returning scorer with 8.4 PPG. He'll be the biggest player. Brock Mogenson and junior Adam Weed are returning starters. The junior trio of Miles Mendes, Jameson Shrum and Brady Bean saw a ton of minutes last year. Who picks up the scoring from Wilson is my big question.
Lakeville North Panthers (2016-17 season 28-4, 16-2 Conference, 2nd)
Coach John Oxton has to replace the 25.9 PPG and 12.1 RPG from Wisconsin recruit Nate Reuvers. Guard Ethan Igbanugo (13.5 PPG) also needs to be replaced. He was an under appreciated defender and scorer. Junior forward Tyler Wahl (9.2 PPG) is the only member of the top 6 scorers coming back. Expect him to have a big season . Tyler Lewko returns inside. Spencer Fossey, Owen Blascziek, Cole Andersen and junior shooter Tommy Jenson will make up a solid backcourt.
Lakeville South Cougars (2016-17 season 15-13, 12-6 Conference, 3rd)
New AD Tom Dasovich brings over old pal Joe Janquart from North St. Paul to be the new head coach. He has UW-Milwaukee commit Shae Mitchell (15.8 PPG) on the wing to build around. Beau Bailey is another wing and Cooper Jackson is a tough undersized point guard. Freshman Riley Mahlman is an option in the middle with a group of senior bangers. The shooting of Jack Sorenson (21.8 PPG) and Cade Carlson (6.3 PPG) will be missed.
Prior Lake Lakers (2016-17 season 14-11, 10-8 Conference, 4th)
5 of the top 6 scorers have graduated. But the one that returns is one of the state's top sophomores, forward Dawson Garcia. He'll take over as the top option and I can see him doubling his 8.8 PPG from last year. Junior Robert Jones has a UWGB offer and will man the middle. Brandon Collins and Pat Bernick also return to the lineup.
Rosemount Irish (2016-17 season 15-14, 7-11 Conference, 6th)
New head coach Lance Walsten returns to the league. He comes from Faribault but was previously an assistant at Lakeville North. He has to replace the twin towers of Alec and Luke Loehr who are now at Navy. They combined for almost 37 PPG last year. PG Myka Edmond and his 11 PPG also need to be replaced. Luke Siwek is the top returnee (11.6 PPG) and will be the main offensive option. Junior guard Andrew Reuter will see a bigger role.
Shakopee Sabers (2016-17 season 4-23, 3-15 Conference, 9th)
Shakopee went with a very young lineup playing 3 and sometimes 4 freshmen last year. Leading scorer Jake Kutina (11.9 PPG) needs to be replaced. Most of the rest of the rotation returns. Sophs Charlie Katona (11.9 PPG), Will Cordes (5.6 PPG) and Caleb Druvenga (5.5 PPG) are the top returning scorers. Seniors Addison Leininger, Luke Budin and Martin McKinney also return. They also should have Garrett Mitchell back from a knee injury that cost him last season. There's not much size available.
Predicted Order of Finish
- Apple Valley
- Lakeville North
- Eastview
- Lakeville South
- Prior Lake
- Burnsville
- Shakopee
- Farmington
- Rosemount
- Eagan
Apple Valley is the easy pick for the top spot. Behind them, I think there's a group of 4 teams. Lakeville North will be lacking experience but they can really shoot it and will just reload. Lakeville South, Prior Lake and Eastview all have a couple of nice pieces to build around. Burnsville has enough returning to be next. Shakopee will be improved but they're looking down the road with their sophomores. The bottom 3 have to find ways to score. Farmington is a year ahead in the rebuild so I'll take them over the 2 remaining teams with new coaches. Luke Siwek gets the nod to keep Rosemount out of the cellar.
Conference MVP: Tre Jones - Apple Valley
Underclassmen to watch:
- Josh Kamara, Josiah Jordan, Tyree Ihenacho - Burnsville
- Jaylen James, Kurt Ohlhues - Eagan
- Tate Machacek, Dan Sweden, Jon Reinke, Steven Crowl - Eastview
- Riley Mahlman - Lakeville South
- Dawson Garcia - Prior Lake
- Charlie Katona, Will Cordes, Caleb Druvenga, Bruce Lockwood - Shakopee
- Lakeville North at Apple Valley - Jan 9th
- Apple Valley at Lakeville North - Feb 13th
- Minnehaha at Apple Valley - Dec 7th (ESPN)
- Apple Valley vs Minneapolis North - Dec 9th (Tipoff Classic at Hopkins)
- Lakeville North vs St. Cloud Tech - Dec 9th (Tipoff Classic at Hopkins)
- Chaska at Lakeville North - Dec 14th
- St. Thomas Academy at Apple Valley - Dec 15th
- Austin at Lakeville North - Dec 29th (projected Lakeville N tourney championship)
2017-18 Northwest Suburban Conference Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 11th preview in my 2017-2018 season preview series. In this
preview, a look at the Northwest Suburban Conference. For a
list of all the
season previews and how they are done, click here.
Andover Huskies (2016-17 season 11-20, 5-14 Conference, 6th North)
Guard Logan Rezac's 25.4 PPG needs to be replaced. Conner Knoepfle is the top returnee at 9.4 PPG. Mason Heath and junior Jake Mallet return to the rotation with some size. At the guard spots, Peyton Aune and junior Matthew Brodeur are options.
Anoka Tornadoes (2016-17 season 7-20, 4-15 Conference, 7th North)
Center Jake Phipps anchors the middle for the Tornadoes after averaging 9.9 PPG last season. Addison Ostendorf returns at a guard spot. Junior Micah Madyun will be another guard in the rotation. John Walberg and junior Zubier Oman are options on the front line.
Blaine Bengals (2016-17 season 16-11, 10-9 Conference, Tie 2nd North)
Coach Mark Arzdorf has to replace most of his rotation. 6 of the top 7 scorers graduated. G Byron Bynum is the top returnee at 7.1 PPG. Sam Browne and Jason Kaul also saw limited time last season. Lucas Larson will be a guard option. Ray Mitchell is an athletic option on the wing.
Centennial Cougars (2016-17 season 12-15, 8-11 Conference, 4th North)
Dave Frasier takes over for Travis Bledsoe who's now at De La Salle. Talented forward Josh McGreal (16.7 PPG) and 13.1 PPG from guard Shane Taleen need to be replaced. Juniors Ariq Eason (7.3 PPG, top returning scorer) and Riley Van Buskirk (3.9 PPG) are an experienced backcourt. Andrew Metz (5.9 PPG) also returns to the rotation. Hunter Ross is an interior option.
Champlin Park Rebels (2016-17 season 31-1, 19-0 Conference, 1st North)
The entire starting lineup from last year's AAAA runner-up needs to be replaced. That includes 4 double figure scorers and 2 high D1 players in PG McKinley Wright (22.8 PPG) and F Theo John (13.9 PPG). But the Rebels have plenty to reload with. Josiah Strong (9.7 PPG) will take over the alpha dog role. Junior F Bennett Otto is poised for a breakout season. Jisaiah Riley-Phillips and Alex John are 2 forwards from last year's JV squad who will step up roles.
Coon Rapids Cardinals (2016-17 season 13-15, 6-13 Conference, 5th North)
A banner year for the Cardinals last year. They now have to replace the top 4 scorers from that group. That includes the duo of Lionel Warner (18.1 PPG) and Tyree'on Johnson (15.9 PPG). Senior Marcel Winston is the top returnee at 6.5 PPG. Junior Marshall Holland should also provide some scoring punch. Seniors Henock Mwanasomwe and Logan Severson provide experience.
Elk River Elks (2016-17 season 16-12, 10-9 Conference, Tie 2nd North)
Senior forward Jack Burger returns after averaging 18.5 PPG. But most of the rest of the rotation needs to be replaced including the productive guard tandem of Wyatt Morrell (12.7 PPG) and Noah Weege (8.5 PPG). Andrew Hess and junior Brock Burdine will slot in at guard spots. Carter Baldwin is an option in the middle.
Irondale Knights (2016-17 season 5-22, 1-18 Conference, 7th West)
The Knights have to replace all everything guard Sean Sutherlin (23.9 PPG). Junior Aden Price is the top returnee at 9.6 PPG. Senior Brendan White (6.1 PPG) returns in the middle. Senior Daudi Simon and junior Leighton Glodek also return to the rotation.
Maple Grove Crimson (2016-17 season 28-4, 17-2 Conference, 1st West)
The Crimson have to replace the entire roster with 10 seniors graduating. Brad Davison (24.9 PPG) and Tywhon Pickford (21.1 PPG) are the 2 high profile stars in that group. Experience will be a problem but there is talent on hand. Juniors Jared Rainey and Ian Lim are the backcourt. Senior Alex Battist takes over in the middle. Senior Jordan Stensland is an option on the wing.
Osseo Orioles (2016-17 season 21-8, 13-6 Conference, 4th West)
Leading scorer and top shooter Zach Theisen (22 PPG) returns for the Orioles. Maurice Nelson (9.4 PPG) also returns to the lineup after a productive season. They do have to replace lots of firepower in the graduated Mar Mar Hughes (8.5 PPG) and the Bezdicek twins (combined over 20 PPG). Soph Cornell Richardson should break into the rotation as a major threat. Emmette Page (6.5 PPG) is an experienced returnee and Richard Mulbah is another front line option.
Park Center Pirates (2016-17 season 21-7, 14-5 Conference, 3rd West)
Star PG Losini Kamara (11.8 PPG) is off to Idaho but the Pirates are still very talented. NDSU commit SG Jarius Cook returns after leading the team with 15.1 PPG last year. Dain Dainja (8.7 PPG) mans the middle as one of the state's top sophomores. A ton of other experience returns with juniors Khari Broadway (9.3 PPG) and Emmanuel Tamba (6.9 PPG). Athletic forward Lavante Parker and junior Tommy Chatman are also talented options in the rotation.
Robbinsdale Armstrong Falcons (2016-17 season 18-9, 15-4 Conference, 2nd West)
Big loss for the Falcons as star forward Race Thompson decided to enroll at Indiana early and skip his senior year. Forward Quinn Smith transferred to Maranatha. Plus all the other starters graduated including the backcourt of Isaiah Rollins (13 PPG) and Davonte Saeed-El (12.9 PPG). Isaiah Miller and Ben Inniger return to the perimeter rotation. Cole Priem is another perimeter option who can shoot it.
Spring Lake Park Panthers (2016-17 season 5-22, 3-16 Conference, 6th West)
The Panthers took lumps with a young lineup and the injury to football star Zach Ojile. Leading scorer Kameron Davis 18.2 PPG returns on the wing. Elijah Elkerton (10.7 PPG) returns to the center spot and soph Gabe Myren (6.9 PPG) returns at a guard spot. Ben Whann and Jackson Wenholz are experienced guards. Junior Walker Steward (5.1 PPG) provides depth up front.
Totino-Grace Eagles (2016-17 season 15-13, 8-11 Conference, 5th West)
Nick Carroll takes over the program with Rob Ware now at Maranatha. He has to replace the top 2 scorers from last year. F Rocky Kreuser topped the list at 16.4 PPG and is now at NDSU. Shooter Nathan Kavolak averaged 15.7 PPG. The Eagles have their next 5 scorers return though. G Charlie Jacob leads the way with 14.2 PPG. Will Schmidt mans the middle at 8.9 PPG. PG Braeden Mischke and SG Nick Flottmeier return at the guard spots. Tyler Kittelson is an athletic returnee on the front line along with Sam Hanson.
Predicted Order of Finish
North Division
In the west, Park Center is the clear favorite and the 1 elite team in either division. Totino-Grace has too much returning to not put them 2nd. Osseo gets nod over Maple Grove thanks to a couple of returnees and experience. Spring Lake Park moves up a spot with all of the losses at Armstrong and most of their roster back. Irondale still takes up the last spot.
The north once again is noticeably weaker than than the west. Only 1 player who averaged double figures returns in the division. Champlin Park still has too much talent to not be the favorite. Elk River is always solid and Centennial has a good group of guards coming back. I see those teams fighting for 2nd. Blaine looks to jump into that group as well. I don't see the bottom 3 changing. Coon Rapids moves down as they lose a ton. Andover and Anoka fight to stay above the cellar.
Conference MVP: Jarius Cook - Park Center
Underclassmen to watch:
Andover Huskies (2016-17 season 11-20, 5-14 Conference, 6th North)
Guard Logan Rezac's 25.4 PPG needs to be replaced. Conner Knoepfle is the top returnee at 9.4 PPG. Mason Heath and junior Jake Mallet return to the rotation with some size. At the guard spots, Peyton Aune and junior Matthew Brodeur are options.
Anoka Tornadoes (2016-17 season 7-20, 4-15 Conference, 7th North)
Center Jake Phipps anchors the middle for the Tornadoes after averaging 9.9 PPG last season. Addison Ostendorf returns at a guard spot. Junior Micah Madyun will be another guard in the rotation. John Walberg and junior Zubier Oman are options on the front line.
Blaine Bengals (2016-17 season 16-11, 10-9 Conference, Tie 2nd North)
Coach Mark Arzdorf has to replace most of his rotation. 6 of the top 7 scorers graduated. G Byron Bynum is the top returnee at 7.1 PPG. Sam Browne and Jason Kaul also saw limited time last season. Lucas Larson will be a guard option. Ray Mitchell is an athletic option on the wing.
Centennial Cougars (2016-17 season 12-15, 8-11 Conference, 4th North)
Dave Frasier takes over for Travis Bledsoe who's now at De La Salle. Talented forward Josh McGreal (16.7 PPG) and 13.1 PPG from guard Shane Taleen need to be replaced. Juniors Ariq Eason (7.3 PPG, top returning scorer) and Riley Van Buskirk (3.9 PPG) are an experienced backcourt. Andrew Metz (5.9 PPG) also returns to the rotation. Hunter Ross is an interior option.
Champlin Park Rebels (2016-17 season 31-1, 19-0 Conference, 1st North)
The entire starting lineup from last year's AAAA runner-up needs to be replaced. That includes 4 double figure scorers and 2 high D1 players in PG McKinley Wright (22.8 PPG) and F Theo John (13.9 PPG). But the Rebels have plenty to reload with. Josiah Strong (9.7 PPG) will take over the alpha dog role. Junior F Bennett Otto is poised for a breakout season. Jisaiah Riley-Phillips and Alex John are 2 forwards from last year's JV squad who will step up roles.
Coon Rapids Cardinals (2016-17 season 13-15, 6-13 Conference, 5th North)
A banner year for the Cardinals last year. They now have to replace the top 4 scorers from that group. That includes the duo of Lionel Warner (18.1 PPG) and Tyree'on Johnson (15.9 PPG). Senior Marcel Winston is the top returnee at 6.5 PPG. Junior Marshall Holland should also provide some scoring punch. Seniors Henock Mwanasomwe and Logan Severson provide experience.
Elk River Elks (2016-17 season 16-12, 10-9 Conference, Tie 2nd North)
Senior forward Jack Burger returns after averaging 18.5 PPG. But most of the rest of the rotation needs to be replaced including the productive guard tandem of Wyatt Morrell (12.7 PPG) and Noah Weege (8.5 PPG). Andrew Hess and junior Brock Burdine will slot in at guard spots. Carter Baldwin is an option in the middle.
Irondale Knights (2016-17 season 5-22, 1-18 Conference, 7th West)
The Knights have to replace all everything guard Sean Sutherlin (23.9 PPG). Junior Aden Price is the top returnee at 9.6 PPG. Senior Brendan White (6.1 PPG) returns in the middle. Senior Daudi Simon and junior Leighton Glodek also return to the rotation.
Maple Grove Crimson (2016-17 season 28-4, 17-2 Conference, 1st West)
The Crimson have to replace the entire roster with 10 seniors graduating. Brad Davison (24.9 PPG) and Tywhon Pickford (21.1 PPG) are the 2 high profile stars in that group. Experience will be a problem but there is talent on hand. Juniors Jared Rainey and Ian Lim are the backcourt. Senior Alex Battist takes over in the middle. Senior Jordan Stensland is an option on the wing.
Osseo Orioles (2016-17 season 21-8, 13-6 Conference, 4th West)
Leading scorer and top shooter Zach Theisen (22 PPG) returns for the Orioles. Maurice Nelson (9.4 PPG) also returns to the lineup after a productive season. They do have to replace lots of firepower in the graduated Mar Mar Hughes (8.5 PPG) and the Bezdicek twins (combined over 20 PPG). Soph Cornell Richardson should break into the rotation as a major threat. Emmette Page (6.5 PPG) is an experienced returnee and Richard Mulbah is another front line option.
Park Center Pirates (2016-17 season 21-7, 14-5 Conference, 3rd West)
Star PG Losini Kamara (11.8 PPG) is off to Idaho but the Pirates are still very talented. NDSU commit SG Jarius Cook returns after leading the team with 15.1 PPG last year. Dain Dainja (8.7 PPG) mans the middle as one of the state's top sophomores. A ton of other experience returns with juniors Khari Broadway (9.3 PPG) and Emmanuel Tamba (6.9 PPG). Athletic forward Lavante Parker and junior Tommy Chatman are also talented options in the rotation.
Robbinsdale Armstrong Falcons (2016-17 season 18-9, 15-4 Conference, 2nd West)
Big loss for the Falcons as star forward Race Thompson decided to enroll at Indiana early and skip his senior year. Forward Quinn Smith transferred to Maranatha. Plus all the other starters graduated including the backcourt of Isaiah Rollins (13 PPG) and Davonte Saeed-El (12.9 PPG). Isaiah Miller and Ben Inniger return to the perimeter rotation. Cole Priem is another perimeter option who can shoot it.
Spring Lake Park Panthers (2016-17 season 5-22, 3-16 Conference, 6th West)
The Panthers took lumps with a young lineup and the injury to football star Zach Ojile. Leading scorer Kameron Davis 18.2 PPG returns on the wing. Elijah Elkerton (10.7 PPG) returns to the center spot and soph Gabe Myren (6.9 PPG) returns at a guard spot. Ben Whann and Jackson Wenholz are experienced guards. Junior Walker Steward (5.1 PPG) provides depth up front.
Totino-Grace Eagles (2016-17 season 15-13, 8-11 Conference, 5th West)
Nick Carroll takes over the program with Rob Ware now at Maranatha. He has to replace the top 2 scorers from last year. F Rocky Kreuser topped the list at 16.4 PPG and is now at NDSU. Shooter Nathan Kavolak averaged 15.7 PPG. The Eagles have their next 5 scorers return though. G Charlie Jacob leads the way with 14.2 PPG. Will Schmidt mans the middle at 8.9 PPG. PG Braeden Mischke and SG Nick Flottmeier return at the guard spots. Tyler Kittelson is an athletic returnee on the front line along with Sam Hanson.
Predicted Order of Finish
North Division
- Champlin Park
- Elk River
- Centennial
- Blaine
- Andover
- Anoka
- Coon Rapids
- Park Center
- Totino-Grace
- Osseo
- Maple Grove
- Spring Lake Park
- Robbinsdale Armstrong
- Irondale
In the west, Park Center is the clear favorite and the 1 elite team in either division. Totino-Grace has too much returning to not put them 2nd. Osseo gets nod over Maple Grove thanks to a couple of returnees and experience. Spring Lake Park moves up a spot with all of the losses at Armstrong and most of their roster back. Irondale still takes up the last spot.
The north once again is noticeably weaker than than the west. Only 1 player who averaged double figures returns in the division. Champlin Park still has too much talent to not be the favorite. Elk River is always solid and Centennial has a good group of guards coming back. I see those teams fighting for 2nd. Blaine looks to jump into that group as well. I don't see the bottom 3 changing. Coon Rapids moves down as they lose a ton. Andover and Anoka fight to stay above the cellar.
Conference MVP: Jarius Cook - Park Center
Underclassmen to watch:
- Cody Lindenberg - Anoka
- Carter Anderson - Centennial
- Cooper Olson, Jared Walter - Champlin Park
- Jackson Aurelius - Coon Rapids
- Cornell Richardson - Osseo
- Dain Dainja - Park Center
- Adam Biewen - Robbinsdale Armstrong
- Gabe Myren, Jacob Say, Blake Remme, Daydor Phillips- Spring Lake Park
- Totino-Grace at Park Center - Jan 11th
- Park Center at Totino-Grace - Jan 30th
- Champlin Park at Park Center - Feb 2nd
- Park Center vs Minnehaha - Dec 9th (Tipoff Classic at Hopkins)
- Hopkins at Champlin Park - Dec 12th
- Park Center at Wayzata - Dec 15th
2017-18 Lake Conference Preview
Labels:
17-18 Season Previews
This is the 10th preview in my 2017-2018 season preview series. In
this preview, week 3 rolls on with a look at the Lake Conference. For a list of all the
season previews and how they are done, click here.
Eden Prairie Eagles (2016-17 season 16-13, 3-5 Conference, 3rd)
20 PPG from guard Owen Chose and defender Will Pahl both need to be replaced. The rest of the rotation is back. Senior Kyler Kluge (13.2 PPG) and soph Drake Dobbs (11.8 PPG) will carry the offensive load from the perimeter and do the ball handling. Soph forward Austin Andrews (8.6 PPG) returns to lead the front court. Seniors Antonio Montero, Jack Tuttle and DJ Johnson return to the rotation with soph Connor Christensen.
Edina Hornets (2016-17 season 18-10, 3-5 Conference, 4th)
Senior PG Walt McGrory (23.1 PPG) needs to be replaced. Senior Anders Nelson averaged 15.7 PPG and will step into that role. Junior wing Jack Middleton should see his 7.6 PPG go up significantly with his sharpshooting. Luke Glenna provides defense and experience in the backcourt. Size needs to be replaced up front with the graduation of Matt Hofrenning. The Hornets move their home games from the Edina Community Center to the high school this season.
Hopkins Royals (2016-17 season 23-6, 6-2 Conference, Tie 1st)
Hopkins has to replace D1 players in Ish El-Amin (20.1 PPG) and Simon Wright (16 PPG). But the Royals still expect to be in the running for a state title. The backcourt is experienced with soph PG Blaise Beauchamp (11.8 PPG) and Anthony Davis (11.5 PPG). Then the front court is as good as any with senior Joe Hedstrom (8.6 PPG) and junior Zeke Nnaji (8.1 PPG). Breck transfer Kerwin Walton is a candidate to be the other perimeter starter. They'll have plenty of depth at all positions with players like Dane Zimmer and Andrew Dahnke.
Minnetonka Skippers (2016-17 season 12-15, 2-6 Conference, 5th)
The Skippers lose their 3 double figure scorers from last season. That accounts for over 40 PPG and takes away their best 2 wings and inside man. Coach Ryan Freeberg has pieces to work with though. Junior Jalen Dearring (7.7 PPG) runs the point and is the top returnee. Soph Cam Steele and senior Peter Haas will handle inside duties. Jon Martens returns on a wing and junior Aaron Syverson gives them another guard option. Hopkins transfer Andy Stafford should also contribute.
Wayzata Trojans (2016-17 season 28-4, 6-2 Conference, Tie 1st)
Wayzata also has to replace a dynamic duo. Gavin Baumgartner and Ryan Lindberg combined for over 30 PPG last year. But the backcourt will still be strong, if not big, with juniors Jacob Beeninga (12.9 PPG) and Luke Paulson to handle the ball and shoot it. Senior sniper Drew Galinson should fill Lindberg's role. So expect the Trojans to still shoot the lights out. No experience returns at the big man spots. Tanner Jonas is an option there.
Predicted Order of Finish
The league is marked by outstanding guard play on every roster. Hopkins gets the nod here because they're the 1 team that also has an interior game (a very good one at that). Wayzata will miss Gavin Baumgartner's versatility on both ends but they have enough shooting to be 2nd here. Eden Prairie and Edina are similar teams to last year and Eden Prairie won big twice last year so I give them 3rd. Minnetonka is the only team left so they are at the bottom. But they split with both Eden Prairie and Edina last year so I could see anything happening 3 thru 5. Anders Nelson gets my MVP nod due to value to team. The other teams have more depth to compensate for a star injury.
Conference MVP: Anders Nelson - Edina
Underclassmen to watch:
Eden Prairie Eagles (2016-17 season 16-13, 3-5 Conference, 3rd)
20 PPG from guard Owen Chose and defender Will Pahl both need to be replaced. The rest of the rotation is back. Senior Kyler Kluge (13.2 PPG) and soph Drake Dobbs (11.8 PPG) will carry the offensive load from the perimeter and do the ball handling. Soph forward Austin Andrews (8.6 PPG) returns to lead the front court. Seniors Antonio Montero, Jack Tuttle and DJ Johnson return to the rotation with soph Connor Christensen.
Edina Hornets (2016-17 season 18-10, 3-5 Conference, 4th)
Senior PG Walt McGrory (23.1 PPG) needs to be replaced. Senior Anders Nelson averaged 15.7 PPG and will step into that role. Junior wing Jack Middleton should see his 7.6 PPG go up significantly with his sharpshooting. Luke Glenna provides defense and experience in the backcourt. Size needs to be replaced up front with the graduation of Matt Hofrenning. The Hornets move their home games from the Edina Community Center to the high school this season.
Hopkins Royals (2016-17 season 23-6, 6-2 Conference, Tie 1st)
Hopkins has to replace D1 players in Ish El-Amin (20.1 PPG) and Simon Wright (16 PPG). But the Royals still expect to be in the running for a state title. The backcourt is experienced with soph PG Blaise Beauchamp (11.8 PPG) and Anthony Davis (11.5 PPG). Then the front court is as good as any with senior Joe Hedstrom (8.6 PPG) and junior Zeke Nnaji (8.1 PPG). Breck transfer Kerwin Walton is a candidate to be the other perimeter starter. They'll have plenty of depth at all positions with players like Dane Zimmer and Andrew Dahnke.
Minnetonka Skippers (2016-17 season 12-15, 2-6 Conference, 5th)
The Skippers lose their 3 double figure scorers from last season. That accounts for over 40 PPG and takes away their best 2 wings and inside man. Coach Ryan Freeberg has pieces to work with though. Junior Jalen Dearring (7.7 PPG) runs the point and is the top returnee. Soph Cam Steele and senior Peter Haas will handle inside duties. Jon Martens returns on a wing and junior Aaron Syverson gives them another guard option. Hopkins transfer Andy Stafford should also contribute.
Wayzata Trojans (2016-17 season 28-4, 6-2 Conference, Tie 1st)
Wayzata also has to replace a dynamic duo. Gavin Baumgartner and Ryan Lindberg combined for over 30 PPG last year. But the backcourt will still be strong, if not big, with juniors Jacob Beeninga (12.9 PPG) and Luke Paulson to handle the ball and shoot it. Senior sniper Drew Galinson should fill Lindberg's role. So expect the Trojans to still shoot the lights out. No experience returns at the big man spots. Tanner Jonas is an option there.
Predicted Order of Finish
- Hopkins
- Wayzata
- Eden Prairie
- Edina
- Minnetonka
The league is marked by outstanding guard play on every roster. Hopkins gets the nod here because they're the 1 team that also has an interior game (a very good one at that). Wayzata will miss Gavin Baumgartner's versatility on both ends but they have enough shooting to be 2nd here. Eden Prairie and Edina are similar teams to last year and Eden Prairie won big twice last year so I give them 3rd. Minnetonka is the only team left so they are at the bottom. But they split with both Eden Prairie and Edina last year so I could see anything happening 3 thru 5. Anders Nelson gets my MVP nod due to value to team. The other teams have more depth to compensate for a star injury.
Conference MVP: Anders Nelson - Edina
Underclassmen to watch:
- Drake Dobbs, Austin Andrews, Connor Christensen, Lukas Dunford - Eden Prairie
- Blaise Beauchamp, Kerwin Walton - Hopkins
- Cam Steele- Minnetonka
- Wayzata at Hopkins - Jan 12th
- Hopkins at Wayzata - Feb 16th
- Cretin Derham-Hall at Hopkins - Dec 2nd (Girls Tipoff Classic)
- De La Salle at Hopkins - Dec 9th (Tipoff Classic)
- Hopkins at Champlin Park - Dec 12th
- Lakeville North at Wayzata - Dec 12th
- Park Center at Wayzata - Dec 15th
- Wayzata vs Orono - Dec 21st (Hamline Tournament)
- Hopkins vs Minnehaha (projected) - Dec 23rd (Augsburg Tournament)
- Hopkins vs St. Thomas Academy - Dec 27th (UST Tourney)
- Wayzata vs St. Thomas Academy - Dec 28th (UST Tourney)
- Hopkins at Orono - Jan 9th
- Hopkins at Minneapolis North - Feb 13th
- Wayzata at De La Salle - Feb 23rd
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