2012 Gotta Make Shots Series Part 5

This is the 5th and final post in my 2012 Gotta Make Shots Series.  In the first 4 posts, we took a look back at the last 2 years of the Minnesota state tournament.  In this edition, we'll add up all the totals from the last 4 years and add some stats from our friends to the south.

To see all posts in the series, click here.

Tallying up the Minnesota Results
For 2012, teams with more shots had a combined record of 16-15 (a bit surprising).  Teams with the better shooting percentage were 23-9.

For 2011, teams with more shots were 10-19 while teams with the better percentage were a dominating 26-5

If you add in 2010, teams have combined over the last 3 state tournaments for a record of 40-50 (44.4%) when their team attempts more shots.  Teams with the better shooting percentage have combined over the last 3 years for a record of 73-22 (76.8%)

Class A was especially telling during that time.  Teams with a better shooting percentage were 21-3 while teams with more shots were 7-15.  Class AA teams were 11-12 with more shots but 16-8 with a better percentage.  Class AAA saw results of 12-9 for teams with more shots vs 18-5 with a better percentage.  Finally in class AAAA, teams with more shots were 10-13.  Teams with the better shooting percentage were 18-6

The Iowa Basic Tests
This section comes out of a discussion with blog pal John Carrier, read his coaching blog here.  What we're looking for is a holy grail type of statistic.  Given Stat X, your team will win.  In Iowa teams are required to submit their stats to a specific site on a monthly basis.  That gives us the ability to look at some other stats and see if there's a correlation. We'll use the 2011-12 stats from their 373 teams to do this.  We'll take different stats and see how they correlate to a team's win total.  To determine if there's a correlation, we'll use the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient (click here to read more about it).  Its a widely used calculation to determine the strength of correlation between 2 items.  The value ranges from -1 to +1.   A value of 0 means no correlation.  A value of 1 is the strongest possible positive correlation.  More of X = more of Y.  -1 is the worst, More of  X means less of Y.   Anything from .1 to .4 is a mild correlation, .4 to .7 is a medium correlation, above .7 is a strong correlation.

In the spirit of this series, the first value we'll calculate is the correlation between wins and FG%.  This can be done with 4 values: Overall FG%, 2 pt FG%, 3 pt FG% and Effective FG%.  Effective FG% is calculated as (FGM + (3s made * 0.5))/FGA.  Here are the results of the correlation calculations.

• Wins and FG% = 0.78
• Wins and 2 Pt FG% = 0.7481
• Wins and 3 Pt FG% = 0.5756
• Wins and Effective FG% = 0.7749

As a Wisconsin guy, lets pull out a favorite Bo Ryan statistic, Points Per Possession.  This is an all encompassing stat of offensive efficiency.  Possessions isn't an exact science and there are many different calculations out there for it. For our purposes, total possessions for a team is calculated as FGA - Offensive Rebounds + Turnovers + (.475 * FT Attempts).

Wins and Points per Possession: 0.8260

This leads us to the Hubie Brown portion of the hypothesis which was that a team needs to increase possessions to be successful.

Wins and Possessions: -0.0902

Since the name of the game is basketball, let's look at the basic stats of points for and points against.

• Wins and Points Per Game Scored: 0.7940
• Wins and Points Per Game Allowed: -0.6421

These are reasonably in line with expectations but notice how points allowed has a fair difference between points allowed.  But both are significant which is logical.

Lets combine a couple of the stats

• FG% and Points Per Game: 0.8090
• Effective FG% and Points Per Game: 0.8150
• Effective FG% and Points Per Possession: 0.9174

The scoring factor that hasn't been looked at yet is Free Throws

• Wins and FT%: 0.4698
• Wins and FT Made Per Game: 0.5432
• FT% and Points Per Possession.  0.6136

So free throws aren't nearly the factor that field goals are.   Since there's a much narrower range of free throw % values, it makes sense that number of free throws made would be more important than the % that you make.

Hubie Brown also talked about offensive rebounds and turnovers as factors so let's look at those next.

• Wins and Offensive Rebound %: 0.5234
• Wins and Turnovers Per Game: -0.3586

We talked about scoring above, but does it matter when you score?

• Wins and Average Pts in 1st Qtr: 0.7831
• Wins and Average Pts in 2nd Qtr: 0.7028
• Wins and Average Pts in 3rd Qtr: 0.7018
• Wins and Average Pts in 4th Qtr: 0.3240

This gives big importance to getting off to a good start.  2nd and 3rd quarters about the same which is logical.  4th quarter being surprisingly not important can be explained by bench play in blowouts.

Teams talk about being unselfish.  Here are a couple of assists stats.  Take it with a grain of salt because assists at the high school level are notorious for how inaccurate they are.

• Wins and % of field goals with an assist: 0.2721
• Wins and Assist/Turnover ratio. 0.7150

This was interesting because we saw the base turnover number above was surprisingly low.  But this leads again to the theory that you can outshoot your turnovers.  Less assists would mean a lower ratio and less wins.

This isn't a scientific study by any means, but it does provide some interesting results.  Defensive numbers weren't available but doing some of these stats on the defensive end such as FG% against, Points Per Possession against etc would also be very interesting to see.  Those stats weren't directly available

Conclusions

• Field goal percentage is still king.
• Turnovers aren't as big a deal as expected.  You can overcome them with good shooting.
• 4th quarter scoring isn't all that big of a deal.
• Number of possessions has no meaning.

2012 Gotta Make Shots Part 4

This is part 4 in my 2012 Gotta Make Shots series.  In this edition, a look at results from the last 2 Class AAAA state tournaments. 

2012 State Tournament
Woodbury vs Hopkins
Woodbury +13 shot attempts and had 16 offensive rebounds.  They outshot Hopkins 44.1 to 38.2%.  How does Hopkins make up the difference to win in OT?  The get to the line and win with a 32-9 advantage in made FTs.  That included a state tournament record 22-24 from Siyani Chambers.

Duluth East vs Osseo
Osseo + 15 shots and they outshot the Greyhounds 41.9% to 36.2%.  Osseo trailed by 4 at the half, but the second half shooting tells the story.  Osseo gets 8 more attempts and shoots 53.6% vs 32.4 in the 1st half.  Duluth East only shot 35% in the 2nd half.

Moorhead vs Lakeville North
Lakeville North gets 2 more shots but they lose the percent battle 43.5% to 41.7%.  The Panthers also make up the difference at the foul line with a 17-7 advantage in FTs made.  They also use their size for a 13-7 advantage on the offensive glass which was worth 10 more points (15-5). 

Eden Prairie vs Eastview
Very even here as Eastview gets 1 more shot attempt.  They won the points off turnover battle 19-9.  But what you do when Grant Schaeffer goes for 39 in the 2nd half and overtime.  Eden Prairie wins the shooting percentage 53.5% to 50%.

Hopkins vs Osseo (Semifinal #1)
Hopkins with 4 more shots and the make 11 of 34 3s compared to 0-12 from the arc for Osseo.  That almost allows Hopkins to recover from a 48.6% to 41.9% loss in the shooting percentage.  Osseo with 62 of their 87 points in the paint and they won the rebounding battle 56-31 including 18 offensive boards.  Osseo turned it over 25 times for a 24-17 scoring advantage for Hopkins

Lakeville N vs Eden Prairie (Semifinal #2)
Eden Prairie had 3 more shot attempts but shot only 33.3%.  That wasn't enough to overcome 42.2% from Lakeville North.  North also pulled away at the foul line with a 16-2 advantage in FTs. 

Hopkins vs Eden Prairie (Third Place)
Hopkins with 16 more shot attempts but only shot 38.8%.  They make up the difference with an 18-8 advantage in made free throws.  Eden Prairie shot 49%.  The numbers are a bit misleading as Hopkins shot 46.2% in the 1st half to 44.4% and had 12 more attempts.  That allowed the Royals to open up a 22 point halftime lead before a cold shooting 2nd half at 28.6% to 54.2% allowed the Eagles to make up 10 points..  Hopkins with a 15-4 advantage on the offensive glass for the game.

Osseo vs Lakeville North (Championship)
Lakeville North gets 5 more shots in the game. but shoots only 28.6%.  Osseo makes only 40.9% including the buzzer beater from Ian Theisen.  Lakeville North with 6 more made free throws.  That included a 13-4 advantage in the second half when Osseo made 55.6% of their shots.  Lakeville North with 7 more points off of turnovers.  In a surprise, they won the battle on the offensive glass 18-14 which turned into a 14-5 advantage in points (11-0 second half).

The team with more shots lost 4 of the 8 games for a 4-4 record.  The team with the higher shooting percentage was 5-3.  The magic value in all 3 of those losses was the free throw line.  The 3 losses saw the team lose the free throw battle 67-24.

2011 State Tournament
Owatonna vs Hopkins
Hopkins gets 18 more shots thanks to a 22-16 advantage in turnovers and a 15-6 advantage on the offensive glass.  The Royals shoot 44.8% on those extra shots and hold Owatonna to 42.5%

Duluth East vs Cretin-Derham Hall
Duluth East with 9 more shots in the game.  The Greyhounds shot a dreadful 27.9% compared to 46.2% for CDH who shot 52.2% in the 2nd half to pull away.  Duluth East with a 12 point advantage in 2nd chance points thanks to a 20-11 on the offensive glass.  CDH got that back with an 8 point advantage in points off turnovers.

Lakeville South vs Eden Prairie
Dead even in shot attempts in this one with Lakeville South making 1 more shot.  Eden Prairie with a 16-9 advantage in offensive rebounds for 10 extra points. They also made 5 more free throws.  Lakeville Soth 47.5% to 45.8% for Eden Prairie

Maple Grove vs Osseo
Maple Grove gets 7 more shot attempts but they shoot 30.8% in the second half.  Osseo shoots a scorching 65.2% in the 1st half.  The Orioles make 10 more free throws.  Overall shooting saw Osseo 53.3% to 38.5% for Maple Grove.

Hopkins vs Cretin-Derham Hall (Semifinal #1)
Hopkins with 3 more shots.  They shoot 52.7% for the game compared to 44.2 for CDH.  That included 55.6 to 44 in the 2nd half.  Hopkins 17-6 in 2nd chance points thanks to a 17-5 advantage in offensive rebounds.  Hopkins with a 13-2 advantage in made free throws.

Eden Prairie vs Osseo (Semifinal #2)
Osseo with 3 more shot attempts but they get outshot 45.1% to 38.9%.  Both teams ice cold in the 1st half (19-60) and then hot in the 2nd half (25-45).  Eden Prairie also wins at the foul line 21-8.  The offensive rebounds huge with Eden Prairie winning that 16-4 but only an 8-4 points advantage.  That did turn into 40-28 in points in the paint.

Cretin-Derham Hall vs Osseo (Third Place)
CDH with 4 more shot attempts in the 4 point loss.  They shoot 34.6% compared to 39.6% for Osseo.  Osseo also with a 5 point advantage at the foul line.

Hopkins vs Eden Prairie (Championship)
Hopkins with 1 more shot attempt and they shot 56.8%.  Eden Prairie shot 44.2%.  Hopkins 18-8 in points off turnovers.  Eden Prairie 64.7% in the 1st half (similar to their upset of Hopkins that season) but 30.8% in the 2nd half compared to 60% for Hopkins was just too much to overcome.

The team with more shots lost 4 of the 7 games with a shot differential for a 3-4 record.  The team with the higher shooting percentage had a record of  7-1.  The 1 loss being in the game where the shot attempts were even and there was a 1 make difference.

2011 Gotta Make Shots Part 3

The 2012 Gotta Make Shots Series rolls on with part 3.  After a look at the small schools, its time for a look at the last 2 years of the AAA state tournament.  To see all posts in this series, click here.

2012 Class AAA State Tournament

• ROCORI vs Minneapolis Washburn
  Washburn with 14 extra shot attempts.  They shoot only 34% for the game.  ROCORI shoots 56.3% in the 2nd half for a 48.7% overall result.  Washburn 1 extra 3 and 1 extra free throw.  They win 2nd chance points 12-6 and points off turnovers 20-8 (21-11 advantage in turnovers)
• St. Paul Johnson vs Austin
  Johnson with 4 extra shots.  They shoot 44.6% compared to 50% for Austin.  Johnson with a 17-6 edge at the foul line.  They also win points off turnovers 20-6 and 2nd chance points 15-12.  Austin with 12 2nd half turnovers to only 5 for Johnson. 
• Detroit Lakes vs De La Salle
  Detroit Lakes gets up 16 more shots but this game was out of hand early.  Detroit Lakes shoots 35.7% in the first half to 60% for the Islanders.  That number was down to 30.3% in the 2nd half for Detroit Lakes.  10-0 DLS at the foul line.
• Mankato East vs Grand Rapids
  7 more attempts for Mankato East.  Grand Rapids outshoots them 40.8 to 32.1.  16-6 edge for Grand Rapids at the foul line.  They also had a 17-8 win in 2nd chance points. 
• Minneapolis Washburn vs St. Paul Johnson (Semifinal #1)
  Washburn with 13 more shot attempts and a 45.9% shooting clip.  Johnson shoots 43.8% for the game.  Washburn 25-16 in 2nd chance points and 26-21 in points off turnovers.  That 2nd number is always huge against Johnson who relies so much on their defense to generate offense.  Washburn's advantage in offensive rebounds was 22-11. 
• De La Salle vs Grand Rapids (Semifinal #2)
  DLS with 9 more shots.  Grand Rapids held to 30.4% shooting in the 2nd half while DLS shot 57.1% in that half.  That led to a 17 point DLS margin in that half.  DLS wins the overall FG% 50-39.  They also made 5 more 3s.  24-8 for DLS in points off turnovers. 
• Grand Rapids vs St. Paul Johnson (Third Place)
  Equal field goal attempts in this one.  Grand Rapids gives up 60.9% in the 1st half to Johnson while shooting 41.7%.  Johnson wins points off turnovers 22-15. 
  
• De La Salle vs Minneapolis Washburn (Championship)
  Washburn gets up 4 extra shots.  They shoot 38.9% for the game.  DLS 44% for the game.  14-9 for Washburn at the line, 4-0 for DLS from 3.  Washburn 20-13 in points off turnovers and a 15-9 edge in 2nd chance points.  27.6% shooting in the 2nd half for Washburn but with 12 more attempts in the half they make 1 more field goal. 

The team with more shots had a record of 4-3.  The team with the higher shooting percentage also had a record of  6-2. Turnovers again looming large.

2011 Class AAA State Tournament

• New Prague vs St. Paul Johnson
  Johnson put up 12 more shots but got outshot 14-7 from 3.  I was court side for that one and it was truly a lights out shooting display.  New Prague ends up at 55.8% for the game while Johnson shot 50.9%.  New Prague shot 68.4% with 8 of 11 3s in that second half to come from 8 down.
• Marshall vs Columbia Heights
  Columbia Heights with 6 more shots in the game.  They shoot 47.5% on those.  Marshall shoots 27.3% in the 2nd half for 35.8% overall.  Heights with a 22-0 advantage in points off turnovers.  Despite giving up 21 offensive boards vs 14 of their own, Heights still won 2nd chance points 19-14
• Grand Rapids vs Waconia
  Grand Rapids put up 2 more shots at only a 38.3% clip.   They shoot 29.2% in the 1st half compared to 56% for Waconia.  Wildcats use that advantage to open a 19 point halftime lead.   Grand Rapids never closer than 9 after that.
• St. Cloud Apollo vs Orono
  2 more shots for Orono and they win FG% 45.8% to 43.9%.  Apollo 1-11 from the floor in the overtime to seal their fate. 
• New Prague vs Columbia Heights (Semifinal #1)
  Heights with 12 more shots but cold at 35.6%.  New Prague not much better at 38.3%.  New Prague again with a big advantage in 3s, 11-1.  Heights countered with a 14-3 edge at the foul line.  They also had a 22-13 edge in points off turnovers and 18-11 in 2nd chance points (18-6 on the offensive glass).
• Waconia vs Orono (Semifinal #2)
  Orono got up 5 more field goal attempts.  Spartans shoot 32.7% to 34.1% for Waconia.  Waconia with an 18-8 edge in 2nd chance points.  Orono with 7 3s and an 18-13 edge in points off turnovers.
• New Prague vs Waconia (Third Place)
  Both teams shoot 40 times and make 45%.  Waconia with a 19-11 edge in free throws, 13-6 in 2nd chance points and 22-18 in points off turnovers.
• Columbia Heights vs Orono (Championship)
  Heights 15 more shot attemps and they made 39.7% of those.  Orono 66.7% in the 2nd half on their way to 53.4% for the game.  Orono makes 5 more 3s.  Columbia Heights +4 in points off turnovers  and +10 in 2nd chance points thanks to a 24-14 edge on the offensive glass.  Both teams equal at the charity stripe but it took Heights 6 more attempts.

7 games to count up in this group.  The team with more shot attempts had a record of 4-3.  The team with the better shooting percentage fared 1 game better at 5-2.

2011 Gotta Make Shots Part 2

In part 1 of this year's Gotta Make Shots Series, we took a look at the results from class A.  In part 2, let's take a look at the last 2 years of the AA state tournament.  To see all posts in this series, click here.

2012 Class AA State Tournament

• Worthington vs Perham
  Worthington 4 more attempts.  They lose FG% 48.8 to 46.7.  Perham 8-2 advantage in made free throws and 13-8 lead in points off turnovers.
• Watertown-Mayer vs Litchfield
  Litchfield with 1 more shot attempt in their win.  They shot 39.5% compared to 43.2% for WM.  Litchfield with a 17-5 advantage in made free throws.  They also won points off turnovers 19-7 thanks to 21 Watertown-Mayer turnovers.
• Plainview-Elgin-Millville vs St. Peter.
  PEM with 15 extra shots.  They shot 37.1% for the game.  St. Peter held to 36.2% (33.3% 2nd half).  St. Peter did have a 27-17 lead in made free throws.  PEM 15-7 advantage in points off turnovers.
• St. Croix Lutheran vs Braham
  St. Croix Lutheran shoots 51.5% for the game while Braham shoots 48.4%    2 extra attampts for St. Croix Lutheran.  Braham would make 7 bombs to 1 for SCL in the 2nd half to make a huge comeback.  Overall advantage from 3 was 11-2.  St. Croix Lutheran won points off turnovers 22-11
• Perham vs Litchfield (Semifinal #1)
  Litchfield with 4 extra shots in a snoozefest.  They make 38.9% of those shots.  Perham makes 43.8%.  Litchfield hung in with a 15-2 advantage in points off turnovers.
  
• Plainview-Elgin-Millville vs Braham (Semifinal #2)
  PEM gets up 1 extra shot.  They shoot 52.6% and make 8-17 3s.  Braham shoots 46.4% but only 6-27 from 3.  PEM 16-9 in free throws made and 15-10 in points off turnovers.
• Perham vs Braham (Third Place)
  Braham with 24 more shot attempts but only 32.9% shooting (30.3% 2nd half).  52.9% shooting for Perham in the game.  Braham 24-9 edge in points off turnovers.  Perham 13-4 in made free throws.
  
• Litchfield vs Plainview-Elgin-Millville (Championship)
  PEM 5 extra shot attempts.  They shoot 45.8%.  Litchfield shoots 28% in the 2nd half, 32.6% overall.  PEM with a 25-2 edge in points off turnovers. 

The team with more shots had a record of 5-3.  The team with the higher shooting percentage also had a record of  5-3. Turnovers a huge factor for the teams with more shot attempts.

2011 Class AA State Tournament

• Rochester Lourdes vs Long Prairie-Grey Eagle
  LPGE gets 5 more shots but Lourdes wins the percentage 45.5% to 34.2%.  That included 56.3% to 31.6% in the first half.  Lourdes 19-4 in points off of turnovers despite the turnover difference between 15-12.
• Redwood Valley vs Minnehaha
  Minnehaha Academy got up 9 more shot attempts.  They shot 43.9% for the game in the loss.  Redwood Valley 47.9% from the floor and a 20-8 advantage in made free throws.  Minnehaha won points off of turnovers 10-4 but lost 2nd chance points 14-5.
• Virginia vs Perham
  Not really fair to evaluate this game at this was the return of Zach Gabbard game.  It was over early as Perham shot 62.5% to Virginia's 26.1% in the 1st half on the way to a 24 point halftime lead.  52.3% for the game for Perham and 32.6% for Virginia.   Virginia with 2 more shots in the game.
• Waterville-Elysian-Morristown vs Zimmerman
  WEM would come from 10 down at halftime thanks to a huge shooting advantage in the 2nd half. They shoot 61.9% to 35.5% in that second half.  WEM shoots 55% overall to 43.1% for Zimmerman.  WEM with 18 less shots in the game but they made 7 more free throws.  They also won points off turnovers 23-12 despite losing the overall turnover count 22-18.
• Rochester Lourdes vs Redwood Valley (Semifinal #1)
  In a trend that has been rare in these stats, Lourdes gets more shots (8) and shoots a lower percentage (32.6 to 31.4) but they win a classic but ugly semifinal in 4 OT, 48-42.  Redwood Valley also outrebounded Lourdes 44-27.   Redwood Valley with 20 turnovers.
• Perham vs Waterville-Elysian-Morristown (Semifinal #2)
  WEM with 8 more shots but they were stone cold at 25.5% including 1-11 in the 2 OTs.  Perham overcomes 34.9% shooting to win 45-41.  Most of the other stats even, 9 blocks to none in favor of Perham. Free throws and 3s even.
  
• Redwood Valley vs Waterville-Elysian-Morristown (Third Place)
  WEM 9 more shots attempts and they shoot 48% on those attempts.  Redwood Valley not shabby from the field as they shot 51.2%.  58.3% shooting in the 2nd half brought WEM back from 4 down at halftime.  14-3 advantage for WEM in points off turnovers. 
• Rochester Lourdes vs Perham (Championship)
  Lourdes with a huge advantage in attempts 49-31.  They make only 32.7% of those attempts.  Perham shoots 38.7%, makes 12 extra free throws and 4 extra 3s.  Lourdes wins 2nd chance points 13-2.  Perham 14-8 advantage in points off turnovers.

The team with more shots lost 6 of the 8 games for a 2-6 record.  The team with the higher shooting percentage had a record of 6-2.

2012 Gotta Make Shots Part 1

Long time readers will recall that in the fall of 2009 and again in 2010 I wrote posts analyzing shooting as a factor in winning at the state tournament.  For those who didn't see those articles or want a refresher, check out the links below to see the details. 

The Original Gotta Make Shots Article (explanation)
Gotta Make Shots 2010 Series

Those posts explain the Hubie Brown theory of a bad team needing more shots to win.  I then concluded that it really boils down to shooting percentage.  So in this 1st part of a 5 part series, I take a look back at some more historical data to see if the theories still hold up.  We'll start with a look back at the class A state tournament games.  Then we'll progress through classes AA, AAA and AAAA.  Then in the final installment of the series, we'll tally it all up and add some extra data.

2012 Class A State Tournament

• Lakeview Christian Academy vs Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa
  LCA with 2 extra shots in the game.  They shoot 38.1% compared to 52.5% for BBE.  They overcomes a 12-5 advantage in 3s for LCA.  BBE forces 21 turnovers for a 23-16 advantage in points off turnovers.
  
• Mountain Lake-Butterfield-Odin vs Browerville
  Browerville with 14 more shots, but only 35.3% shooting.  That included 29% in the second half when MLBO pulled away.  MLBO 46.4% for the game
• SW MN Christian vs Fosston
  Fosston with 15 more shots but another state tourney early exit thanks to 29.3% shooting.  SW MN Christian shoots over 50% in each half for 51.2% overall.
• Prairie Seeds Academy vs Rushford-Peterson
  PSA with 16 more shots in the game but again that's no help.  The Lycans shoot 44.3% for the game and give up 54.5% on the other end in the 2nd half.  Rushford-Peterson ends up at 44.4%.  A huge 26-5 advantage at the foul line and 26-13 on points off turnovers keeps PSA from moving on.
• BBE vs MLBO (Semifinal #1)
  BBE gets 11 more shots in the 2nd half as MLBO can't buy a bucket.  MLBO 9.1% shooting in the 2nd half (not a typo, they were 2-22).  They hold BBE to 25.9 in that half but too big a margin to overcome.  BBE also with a 28-3 advantage on points off turnovers (23-9 total turnover advantage).  13-3 in made free throws also went to BBE.  Jags roll 56-36.
• SW MN Christian vs Rushford-Peterson (Semifinal #2)\
  SW MN Christian with 9 more attempts and they lose the FG% battle 39.5% to 31.9%.  SW MN Christian overcomes all of that by winning the turnover battle 14-9 and with a 12-7 win on the offensive glass.
• MLBO vs Rushford-Peterson (Third Place)
  Rushford-Peterson rolls with 15 extra shot attempts.  23-11 advantage in points off turnovers and a 22-9 advantage in 2nd chance points.  Rushford-Peterson shot 49.1% to 47.5% for MLBO.  Huge factor was a 15-4 advantage in made 3s for Rushford-Peterson.  32 of their 55 attempts were from the great beyond.
• BBE vs SW MN Christian (Championship)
  SW MN Christian with 6 extra attempts.  They shot 34.6% while BBE shot 39.1%.  SW MN Christan 3-20 from the 3 point line.  18.5% shooting for SW MN Christian in the 2nd half to lose a 4 point halftime lead.  BBE 17-6 advantage in made free throws.  BBE 22-8 in points off turnovers (23-18 advantage in turnovers).

The team with more shots had a record of 3-5.  The team with the higher shooting percentage had a record of  7-1.  The 1 loss being in the game where SW MN Christian made up the difference with turnovers and free throws.

2011 Class A State Tournament

• Goodhue vs Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa
  Goodhue had 4 more shots in the 70-54 loss.  They shot 35.7% for the game compared to 40.4% for BBE.  Huge advantage for BBE at the line 27-8.   They also held a 22-7 advantage in 2nd chance points thanks to a 22-8 advantage on the offensive glass.  Goodhue won the turnover battle 25-19 but lost the points off of turnovers 22-18.

• MACCRAY vs Maranatha
  MCA with 12 more shots but they lost 61-52.  MACCRAY shoots 47.8% compared to 37.9% for the Mustangs.  MACCRAY also with a 10 point advantage in made free throws.
• Chisholm vs Fosston
  This game saw the teams dead even in field goal attempts.  Chisholm only shoots 40.4% but they hold Fosston to 25.5%.  The Bluestreaks forced 19 Fosston turnovers for a 15-4 advantage in points.
• Springfield vs Upsala
  Upsala with 13 more shot attempts but they shoot only 33.3%  for the game.  They forced 23 Springfield turnovers compared to 19 of their own but Springfield was +6 in points off turnovers.  Springfield was very efficient on offense as they shot 50% in each half. 
• BBE vs MACCRAY (Semifinal #1)
  MACCRAY with 4 more shots.  BBE shoots 55.4% for the game compared to 41.7% for MACCRAY.  That included 38.5% in the 2nd half.    BBE took 23 turnovers and turned them into a 36-15 advantage. 
  
• Chisholm vs Springfield (Semifinal #2)
  The Bluestreaks get off 6 more shots than Springfield.  Chisholm held to 32.7% while Springfield wasn't much better at 36.7%. (26.7% in the 2nd half).  Springfield makes 6 extra free throws in the OT to put it away.
• MACCRAY vs Chisholm (Third Place)
  MACCRAY with a couple of extra shots.  They shoot 45.3% on those and hold Chisholm to 37.3%. (24% in the 2nd half).  That allows MACCRAY to pull away.\
• BBE vs Springfield (Championship)
  BBE gets up 80 shots compared to 59 for Springfield.  They shoot only 33.8% on those shots but hold Springfield to 37.3%.  BBE with a 26-14 advantage on the offensive glass for a 26-12 advantage in pionts.  Springfield would recover with a 17-8 advantage in points off turnovers.  They would have a 20-2 advantage at the foul line and held BBE to 2-27 from 3 to win 70-58.

The team with more shots lost 6 of the 7 games with a shot differential for a 1-6 record.  The team with the higher shooting percentage had a record of 8-0.