Gotta make shots, 09-10 Part 4

Here's part 4 of my making shots series (read part 1 here, part 2 here and part 3 here).  This time its a look at the 8 games in class AAAA.

Class AAAA Games

• Hopkins +15 shot attempts against Forest Lake, won 75-51.  Hopkins loses FG% 46.8 to 45.2 but they win the rebounding battle 44-24, including 19-6 on the offensive glass for a 14-4 advantage in 2nd chance points.  Hopkins forced 18 turnovers in the 1st half to blow the game open.
• Sibley + 3 shot attempts against Eastview, won 50-47.  Eastview barely wins FG% 42.9 to 42.2.  Sibley 36-19 on the glass including 17-7 on the offensive boards.  That resulted in a 16-5 advantage in 2nd chance points.
• Eden Prairie + 7 shot attempts against Owatonna, won 61-46.  Owatonna held to 30.8% from the field to 45.7 for Eden Prairie (56.5 to 30 in the 2nd half to break open a 3 point game).  Eden Prairie 15-8 in second chance points and 30-8 on points in the paint.  35-24 EP on the glass overall.
• Champlin Park +11 shot attempts vs St. Cloud Tech, lost 55-51.  Tech with 26 turnovers for a 26-11 Rebel advantage in points.  Champlin Park shot a dismal 19.2% in the second half (5-26) and still won the half.  46.3 to 30.8 for the game from the floor in favor of Tech.
• Sibley + 15 shot attempts vs Hopkins, lost 90-82 (2OT).  Hopkins with the state record of 39-58 from the line to 18-24 for Sibley.  Hopkins forces 22 turnovers to win points off of turnovers 19-7.  Hopkins shots 48.1% to 44.8% for Sibley.
• Eden Prairie + 8 shot attempts vs St. Cloud Tech, lost 62-58.  Tech shoots 38.8% to 36.8% for Eden Prairie.  Eden Prairie 50-33 on the glass for a 15-4 second points advantage.  Tech won points off turnovers 12-0 (15-7 turnover totals).  
• Eden Prairie + 18 shot attempts vs Sibley, lost 62-53.  Sibley shoots 48.4% to 37.3% for Eden Prairie.  11-30 for EP in the 2nd half.  Sibley wins at the foul line 29-12.
• St. Cloud Tech + 4 shot attempts vs Hopkins, lost 76-56.  Hopkins shoots 46.6% to 35.5% for Tech.  Hopkins also wins at the line 19-7. 

Out of 8 class AAAA games where a team had more shot attempts, the team with more shots won the 1st 3 games of the tourney and then lost the last 5.  The team with the higher shooting percentage was 6-2.

So when you add it all up across the 4 classes here are the final results for the 2009-2010 State Tournament.

The team with more shots finished 14-16 (46.7%).  3 of those wins were by Johnson and you also had the miracle comeback by Braham vs Sibley East.

The team with the higher shooting percentage was 24-8 (75%).

Gotta Make Shots, 09-10 Part 3

Here's part 3 of my making shots series (read part 1 here and part 2 here).  This time its a look at the 8 games in class AAA.

Class AAA Games

• St. Paul Johnson + 4 shot attempts vs Hutchinson, won 80-37.  Johnson wins FG% 46-30.4%, Turnovers 25-14 for a 30-11 points advantage and free throws 25-7.
• Orono + 11 shot attempts vs Winona, lost 70-57.  Orono shot 40.7% to 69.8% for the Winhawks.  That included 15-18 in the 2nd half.
• Little Falls + 26 shot attempts vs DeLaSalle, lost 66-61.  Little Falls shot 43.3% to 67.6% for DeLaSalle. Little Falls 18-4 in offensive rebounds and won turnover battle 26-18.  DLS wins 7-2 from 3, 13-7 from the foul line.
• Benilde-St. Margaret's +19 shot attempts vs Grand Rapids, lost 70-61.  BSM shoots 40% to 58.5% (13-18 2nd half) for Grand Rapids.  
• St. Paul Johnson +9 shot attempts vs Winona, won 80-55.  Johnson wins FG% 55.6 to 37.8.  Turnovers were a wash but Johnson won the point off of turnovers 28-13.  
• Grand Rapids + 1 shot attempt vs DeLaSalle, won 57-53 (2OT).  DLS up 4 at half but they shot 32.3% in the 2nd half and overtimes compared to 50% for Grand Rapids.  Overall Grand Rapids wins the FG% battle 42-36.7.
• DeLaSalle + 4 shot attempts vs Winona, lost 48-32.  DLS shoots 29.7% compared to 54.5% for Winona. 
• St. Paul Johnson +3 shot attempts vs Grand Rapids, won 59-55.  Johnson wins point off turnovers 23-10 with a 17-13 advantage in turnovers forced.  Johnson also won 2nd chance points 14-3.  Grand Rapids shoots 46.5% to Johnson's 43.5%

Out of 8 class AAA games where a team had more shot attempts, the team with more shots was 4-4 (3 by Johnson).  The team with the higher shooting percentage was 7-1.

Gotta make shots, 09-10 Part 2

Here's part 2 of my making shots series (read part 1 here).  This time its a look at the 8 games in class AA.

Class AA Games

• Jordan + 3 shot attempts vs Plainview-Elgin-Millville, lost 45-42.  Jordan was up 6 at half but shot 6-21 (28.6%) in the second half.
• Minnehaha Academy + 3 shot attempts vs Crosby-Ironton, lost 72-67.  Minnehaha up 2 at half but shot 41.4% to Crosby-Ironton's 60% in the second half.
• Braham +6 shot attempts vs Sibley East, won 60-59.  Was outshot 50% to 35.2%.  Sibley East gave up a 20 point lead in the last 6 minutes.
• New London-Spicer + 14 shot attempts vs Windom.  NLS wins 78-60 with with a 16-5 second points advantage on 18-6 offensive rebounds.  They were outshot 52.1 to 50% from the field.
• Plainview-Elgin-Millville + 12 shot attempts vs Crosby-Ironton, lost 51-48.    PEM wins the FG% battle 38.5% to 37.5% but gets loses 18-6 at the charity stripe.
• Braham and New London-Spicer both with 58 shot attempts in the semifinals.  NLS wins 76-67 as they shoot 56.9% to 41.4% for Braham.
• Plainview-Elgin-Millville + 4 shot attempts vs Braham, won 83-51.  Braham shoots 29.6% for the game to 58.6% for PEM.
• New London-Spicer + 4 shot attempts vs Crosby-Ironton, won 62-52.  NLS wins the FG% war barely, 46.9 to 46.7.  6 3s and 1 extra free throw with a 12-2 advantage on the offensive glass.

Out of 7 class AA games where a team had more shot attempts, the team with more shots was 4-3.  The team with the higher shooting percentage was 5-3.  If Sibley East holds on vs Braham, the results match class A

Gotta make shots, 09-10 Part 1

Some readers may remember that I did a post last October titled "You have to make shots"  It was an analysis of Hubie Brown's theory that getting more shots helps you be more successful.  Turns out the 08-09 state tournament data didn't show that as I talked about in that post.

So in this first installment of a 4 part series, I bring back that same analysis but using the 09-10 state tournament data, starting with the 8 class A games.  As a refresher, here are the categories Hubie talks about.

• Offensive Rebounds
• Turnovers
• Free Throws

Class A Games

• Springfield + 5 shot attempts vs Rushford-Peterson, lost 71-63.  Springfield was up 10 at half on 59.3% shooting (7-11 from 3).  They shot 38.9% and gave up 64.7% (6-8 from 3) in the 2nd half. 
• Cass Lake-Bena + 6 shot attempts vs MN Transitions, lost 69-47.  The Panthers shot 30.5% for the game.
• Sebeka + 17 shot attempts vs Mesabi East, won 75-51.  Sebeka forced 24 turnovers to their 8.  They made 11 free throws to 5 for Mesabi East.
• Ellsworth + 3 shot attempts vs Hillcrest Lutheran, won 58-53.  2 point game with 2 minutes left that came down to free throws.  Call this one a wash.
• Rushford-Peterson + 4 shot attempts vs MN Transitions, lost 56-49.  MTS shot 60.5% for the game (including 12-16 in the 2nd half) to 38.1% for Rushford-Peterson.  Why was this one close?  RP was 11-21 from behind the arc compared to 5-21 inside of it.
• Sebeka + 4 shot attempts vs Ellsworth, won 61-60.  Sebeka was outshot 42.6% to 50% but had a 10-5 advantage at the foul line and forced 19 turnovers while only giving it up 7 times.  Sebeka makes a clutch shot in the last 30 seconds to win that game.
• Sebeka  +4 shot attempts vs MN Transitions, lost 61-52.  Sebeka was outshot 54% to 40.7%
• Rushford-Peterson vs Ellsworth for 3rd place, Ellsworth wins 70-62.  Same number of shot attempts for both teams.  Ellsworth shoots 55.3%, RP shoots 51.1%. 

Out of 7 class A games where a team had more shot attempts, the team with more shots was 3-4.  The team with the higher shooting percentage was 6-2.